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Tennis · San Marino · San Marino · clay

Maestrelli F. vs Varillas J. P.

Thursday, 30 July 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Maestrelli F.1-2Varillas J. P.
Set 1
6-7
Set 2
6-4
Set 3
3-6

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Varillas J. P. a 51% chance on clay. That rests on 7 wins from the last 10 matches on clay to 2. Maestrelli F. is the higher-ranked player (No. 149 against No. 274), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Varillas J. P. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • Recent form favours Varillas J. P.: 7 wins from the last 10 matches, against 2 for Maestrelli F.
  • Varillas J. P. has won 3 matches in a row.
San Marino•Challenger•San Marino•clay
Maestrelli F.
Age 23 · Rank #149
VS
Age 30 · Rank #274
Varillas J. P.
Thursday, 30 July 2026 at 19:40
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Maestrelli F.1-2Varillas J. P.
Set 1
6-7
Set 2
6-4
Set 3
3-6
Model win probability
Maestrelli F.Varillas J. P.
49%
51%
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Model Prediction
Maestrelli F.
49%
Varillas J. P.
51%
low confidenceData 71%clay0 H2H used
◀ Maestrelli F.Why the model leansVarillas J. P. ▶
Ranking
+0.26
Surface
0.00
Form
-0.30
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Maestrelli F. Form
Maestrelli F.
28 Jul2026
Maestrelli F.ATP #149 vs Neumayer L.ATP #173
2-0W
30 Jun2026
Maestrelli F.ATP #149 vs Milic O.ATP #336
1-2L
22 Jun2026
Maestrelli F.ATP #149 vs Basing M.ATP #257
1-2L
15 Jun2026
Galarneau A.ATP #167 vs Maestrelli F.ATP #149
2-0L
09 Jun2026
Maestrelli F.ATP #149 vs Gea A.ATP #127
1-2L
26 May2026
Maestrelli F.ATP #149 vs Coppejans K.ATP #218
1-2L
20 May2026
Maestrelli F.ATP #149 vs Carballes Baena R.ATP #176
1-2L
19 May2026
Maestrelli F.ATP #149 vs Noguchi R.ATP #212
2-1W
07 May2026
Bautista-agut R.ATP #180 vs Maestrelli F.ATP #149
2-0L
28 Apr2026
Maestrelli F.ATP #149 vs Damas M.ATP #289
0-2L
Varillas J. P. Form
Varillas J. P.
28 Jul2026
Vasami J.ATP #362 vs Varillas J. P.ATP #274
0-2W
27 Jul2026
Varillas J. P.ATP #274 vs Forti F.ATP #371
2-1W
26 Jul2026
Varillas J. P.ATP #274 vs Latinovic S.ATP #1320
2-0W
20 Jul2026
Varillas J. P.ATP #274 vs Donski A.ATP #538
0-2L
19 Jul2026
Varillas J. P.ATP #274 vs Boitan G. A.ATP #429
2-1W
11 Jul2026
Mejia N.ATP #131 vs Varillas J. P.ATP #274
2-1L
10 Jul2026
Varillas J. P.ATP #274 vs Pucinelli de Almeida M.ATP #297
2-0W
08 Jul2026
Varillas J. P.ATP #274 vs Alvarez Valdes L. C.ATP #806
2-1W
07 Jul2026
Varillas J. P.ATP #274 vs Fernandez B.ATP #641
2-1W
01 Jul2026
Varillas J. P.ATP #274 vs Magadan A.ATP #579
0-2L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.

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