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Tennis · Matsuyama · Japan · hard

Kumasaka T. vs Zhou Y.

Tuesday, 10 November 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model gives Zhou Y. a 62% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 279 against No. 668. Bookmakers give Zhou Y. about 69% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market.

Key facts

  • Kumasaka T. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
Japan•Challenger•Matsuyama•hard
Kumasaka T.
Age 28 · Rank #668
VS
Age 21 · Rank #279
Zhou Y.
Tuesday, 10 November 2026 at 07:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Kumasaka T.Zhou Y.
38%
62%
Kumasaka T. · all surfaces (latest first)
W0d
W1d
L10d
W11d
W12d
L16d
W17d
W18d
W19d
L64d
2-match win streak · all at Matsuyama — built in this tournament
On hard7–3 · 70%· won 1+ set 9/10
W0d
W1d
L10d
W11d
W12d
L16d
W17d
W18d
W19d
L64d
2-match win streak · all at Matsuyama — built in this tournament
Zhou Y. · all surfaces (latest first)
L11d
W13d
L16d
W17d
W19d
W20d
L29d
W31d
W33d
L42d
On hard6–4 · 60%· won 1+ set 8/10
L11d
W13d
L16d
W17d
W19d
W20d
L29d
W31d
W33d
L42d
Recent form
Kumasaka T. · all surfacesZhou Y. · all surfaces
1010
7/106/10
3/104/10
70%60%
6/103/10
1/102/10
9/108/10
3/105/10
16 / 714 / 11
+9+3
On hard (this match's surface)
Kumasaka T. · last 10 on hardZhou Y. · last 10 on hard
1010
7/106/10
3/104/10
70%60%
6/103/10
1/102/10
9/108/10
3/105/10
16 / 714 / 11
+9+3
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 10.2%
Kumasaka T.
2.90
Implied 31%
Edge +6.7%
Zhou Y.
1.32
Implied 69%
Edge -6.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Kumasaka T.
38%
Zhou Y.
62%
low confidenceData 71%hard0 H2H used
◀ Kumasaka T.Why the model leansZhou Y. ▶
Ranking
-0.37
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.24
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Kumasaka T. Form
Kumasaka T.
09 Nov2026
Staeheli L.ATP #442 vs Kumasaka T.ATP #668
0-2W
08 Nov2026
Tomida Y.ATP #773 vs Kumasaka T.ATP #668
0-2W
30 Oct2026
Kumasaka T.ATP #668 vs Yamanaka T.ATP #764
1-2L
29 Oct2026
Fukuda S.ATP #948 vs Kumasaka T.ATP #668
1-2W
28 Oct2026
Kumasaka T.ATP #668 vs Tanuma R.ATP #1424
2-0W
24 Oct2026
Oki Y.ATP #914 vs Kumasaka T.ATP #668
2-1L
23 Oct2026
Kusuhara Y.ATP #921 vs Kumasaka T.ATP #668
0-2W
22 Oct2026
Koizumi N.ATP #888 vs Kumasaka T.ATP #668
0-2W
21 Oct2026
Komagata R.ATP #1578 vs Kumasaka T.ATP #668
0-2W
06 Sept2026
Kumasaka T.ATP #668 vs Borisiouk M.ATP #728
0-2L
Zhou Y. Form
Zhou Y.
29 Oct2026
Zhou Y.ATP #279 vs Delaney Ja.
1-2L
27 Oct2026
Ymer E.ATP #254 vs Zhou Y.ATP #279
1-2W
24 Oct2026
Wong C.ATP #84 vs Zhou Y.ATP #279
2-0L
23 Oct2026
Zhou Y.ATP #279 vs Ilagan A.ATP #196
2-0W
21 Oct2026
Zhang Z.ATP #156 vs Zhou Y.ATP #279
0-2W
20 Oct2026
Matsuda K.ATP #484 vs Zhou Y.ATP #279
0-2W
11 Oct2026
Hurkacz H.ATP #30 vs Zhou Y.ATP #279
2-1L
09 Oct2026
Zhou Y.ATP #279 vs Musetti L.ATP #25
2-1W
07 Oct2026
Bellucci M.ATP #62 vs Zhou Y.ATP #279
1-2W
28 Sept2026
Zhou Y.ATP #279 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #77
0-2L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
18 Jul2024
Kumasaka T.ATP #668 vs Zhou Y.ATP #279

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