Tennis · Courmayeur · Italy · hard
Kubka M. vs Pigato L.
Thursday, 29 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Pigato L. a 53% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 102 against No. 148 and 8 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 6. Bookmakers give Pigato L. about 45% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market.
Italy•Challenger•Courmayeur•hard
Thursday, 29 October 2026 at 21:25
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Kubka M.Pigato L.
47%
53%
Kubka M. · all surfaces (latest first)
W2d
L12d
W13d
W14d
W16d
L29d
W30d
L37d
L41d
W42d
On hard5–4 · 56%· won 1+ set 6/9
W2d
L12d
W13d
W14d
W16d
L29d
W30d
L37d
L41d
W42d
Pigato L. · all surfaces (latest first)
W1d
L15d
W17d
W25d
D26d
W27d
W28d
W29d
W39d
W40d
On hard8–1 · 89%· won 1+ set 8/9
W1d
L15d
W17d
W25d
D26d
W27d
W28d
W29d
W39d
W40d
Recent form
Kubka M. · all surfacesPigato L. · all surfaces
99
5/98/9
4/91/9
56%89%
3/96/9
3/91/9
6/98/9
3/92/9
11 / 1016 / 4
+1+12
Limited sample — Kubka M. has 9 matches on record.
Limited sample — Pigato L. has 9 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Kubka M. · last 9 on hardPigato L. · last 9 on hard
99
5/98/9
4/91/9
56%89%
3/96/9
3/91/9
6/98/9
3/92/9
11 / 1016 / 4
+1+12
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 8.7%
Kubka M.
1.67▼
Implied 55%
Edge -8.1%
Pigato L.
2.05▲
Implied 45%
Edge +8.1%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Kubka M.
47%
Pigato L.
53%
low confidenceData 46%hard0 H2H used
◀ Kubka M.Why the model leansPigato L. ▶
Ranking
-0.16
Surface
0.00
Form
-0.33
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Kubka M. Form
Kubka M.
Pigato L. Form
Pigato L.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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