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Tennis · Finals Indian Wells · World · hard

Kostyuk M. vs Gauff C.

Wednesday, 11 November 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model gives Gauff C. a 71% chance on hard courts. That rests on 7 wins from the last 9 matches on hard courts to 3 and a 4-2 head-to-head lead.

Key facts

  • Kostyuk M. has lost 5 matches in a row.
  • Recent form favours Gauff C.: 7 wins from the last 9 matches, against 3 for Kostyuk M.
  • They last met on 22 Aug 2026, when Gauff C. won 2-0.
World•WTA•Finals Indian Wells•hard
Kostyuk M.
Age 24 · Rank #10
VS
Age 22 · Rank #4
Gauff C.
Wednesday, 11 November 2026 at 21:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Kostyuk M.Gauff C.
29%
71%
Kostyuk M. · all surfaces (latest first)
L2d
L20d
L28d
L53d
L65d
W67d
W69d
W72d
L80d
5 straight losses · 1 at Finals Indian Wells · 4 at other events (Ningbo, Wuhan)
On hard3–5 · 38%· won 1+ set 6/8
L2d
L20d
L28d
L53d
L65d
W67d
W69d
W72d
L80d
5 straight losses · 1 at Finals Indian Wells · 4 at other events (Ningbo, Wuhan)
Gauff C. · all surfaces (latest first)
W1d
L34d
W36d
W38d
L60d
W62d
W63d
W66d
W67d
W69d
On hard8–2 · 80%· won 1+ set 9/10
W1d
L34d
W36d
W38d
L60d
W62d
W63d
W66d
W67d
W69d
Recent form
Kostyuk M. · all surfacesGauff C. · all surfaces
810
3/88/10
5/82/10
38%80%
3/85/10
2/81/10
6/89/10
3/84/10
9 / 1017 / 7
-1+10
Limited sample — Kostyuk M. has 8 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Kostyuk M. · last 8 on hardGauff C. · last 10 on hard
810
3/88/10
5/82/10
38%80%
3/85/10
2/81/10
6/89/10
3/84/10
9 / 1017 / 7
-1+10
Head-to-head
2/64/6
12
6 meetings · 3 went to a deciding set
Market Odds
Bookmaker odds not available for this match.
Model Prediction
Kostyuk M.
29%
Gauff C.
71%
medium confidenceData 63%hard5 H2H used
◀ Kostyuk M.Why the model leansGauff C. ▶
Ranking
-0.38
Surface
0.00
Form
-0.17
H2H
-0.05
Model v2.3-2026-06
Kostyuk M. Form
Kostyuk M.
08 Nov2026
Kostyuk M.WTA #10 vs Noskova L.WTA #8
0-2L
21 Oct2026
Alexandrova E.WTA #32 vs Kostyuk M.WTA #10
1-0L
13 Oct2026
Sakkari M.WTA #30 vs Kostyuk M.WTA #10
2-1L
18 Sept2026
Kostyuk M.WTA #10 vs Samsonova L.WTA #40
1-2L
17 Sept2026
Kostyuk M.WTA #10 vs Townsend T.WTA #88
06 Sept2026
Kostyuk M.WTA #10 vs Noskova L.WTA #8
1-2L
04 Sept2026
Kostyuk M.WTA #10 vs Alexandrova E.WTA #32
2-0W
02 Sept2026
Kostyuk M.WTA #10 vs Stephens S.WTA #113
2-0W
30 Aug2026
Kostyuk M.WTA #10 vs Hunter S.WTA #161
2-0W
22 Aug2026
Gauff C.WTA #4 vs Kostyuk M.WTA #10
2-0L
Gauff C. Form
Gauff C.
09 Nov2026
Gauff C.WTA #4 vs Pegula J.WTA #5
2-1W
07 Oct2026
Gauff C.WTA #4 vs Mertens E.WTA #14
0-2L
05 Oct2026
Gauff C.WTA #4 vs Sun X.WTA #303
2-0W
03 Oct2026
Gauff C.WTA #4 vs Osorio C.WTA #69
2-1W
11 Sept2026
Gauff C.WTA #4 vs Rybakina E.WTA #1
1-2L
09 Sept2026
Andreeva M.WTA #3 vs Gauff C.WTA #4
1-2W
08 Sept2026
Jovic I.WTA #13 vs Gauff C.WTA #4
0-2W
05 Sept2026
Bucsa C.WTA #43 vs Gauff C.WTA #4
0-2W
04 Sept2026
Badosa P.WTA #57 vs Gauff C.WTA #4
0-2W
02 Sept2026
Sonmez Z.WTA #67 vs Gauff C.WTA #4
0-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
22 Aug2026
Gauff C.WTA #4 vs Kostyuk M.WTA #10
2-0
11 Feb2025
Gauff C.WTA #4 vs Kostyuk M.WTA #10
0-2
10 Oct2024
Gauff C.WTA #4 vs Kostyuk M.WTA #10
2-0
19 Apr2024
Kostyuk M.WTA #10 vs Gauff C.WTA #4
2-1
23 Jan2024
Kostyuk M.WTA #10 vs Gauff C.WTA #4
1-2
12 Jan2022
Kostyuk M.WTA #10 vs Gauff C.WTA #4
1-2

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