Tennis · Montevideo · Uruguay · clay
Kicker N. vs Arias B.
Sunday, 15 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Arias B. a 66% chance on clay. Kicker N. is the higher-ranked player (No. 336 against No. 1290), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Bookmakers give Arias B. about 90% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market.
Key facts
- Arias B. has lost 10 matches in a row.
- Recent form favours Kicker N.: 6 wins from the last 10 matches, against 0 for Arias B.
- Arias B. has won just 0 of the last 10 matches on clay.
Uruguay•Challenger•Montevideo•clay
Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 17:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Kicker N.Arias B.
34%
66%
Kicker N. · all surfaces (latest first)
L8d
W9d
W11d
W13d
L26d
L29d
W30d
W32d
L41d
W42d
On clay6–3 · 67%· won 1+ set 6/9
L8d
W9d
W11d
W13d
L26d
L29d
W30d
W32d
L41d
W42d
Arias B. · all surfaces (latest first)
L7d
L21d
L35d
L49d
L56d
L77d
L91d
L98d
L133d
L217d
10 straight losses · carried over from Lima 2, Guayaquil — first match of this tournament
On clay0–9 · 0%· won 1+ set 2/9
L7d
L21d
L35d
L49d
L77d
L91d
L98d
L133d
L217d
L236d
10 straight losses · carried over from Lima 2, Guayaquil — first match of this tournament
Recent form
Kicker N. · all surfacesArias B. · all surfaces
99
6/90/9
3/99/9
67%0%
5/90/9
3/97/9
6/92/9
1/92/9
12 / 72 / 18
+5-16
Limited sample — Kicker N. has 9 matches on record.
Limited sample — Arias B. has 9 matches on record.
On clay (this match's surface)
Kicker N. · last 9 on clayArias B. · last 9 on clay
99
6/90/9
3/99/9
67%0%
5/90/9
3/97/9
6/92/9
1/92/9
12 / 72 / 18
+5-16
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 0.0%
Kicker N.
16.50
Implied 10%
Edge +24.3%
Arias B.
1.77
Implied 90%
Edge -24.3%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Kicker N.
34%
Arias B.
66%
low confidenceData 22%clay0 H2H used
◀ Kicker N.Why the model leansArias B. ▶
Ranking
+0.56
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.60
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Kicker N. Form
Kicker N.
Arias B. Form
Arias B.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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