Tennis · Beijing · China · hard
Kawa K. vs Matsuda R.
Monday, 28 September 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score · sets
Kawa K.2-1Matsuda R.
- Set 1
- 7-6
- Set 2
- 2-6
- Set 3
- 6-3
Prediction and result
Before the match, the model gave Matsuda R. a 70% chance on hard courts. That rests on 8 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 1. Kawa K. is the higher-ranked player (No. 131 against No. 470), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Kawa K. won 2-1 in sets, against the model's 70% for Matsuda R.
Key facts before the match
- Kawa K. has lost 5 matches in a row.
- Recent form favours Matsuda R.: 7 wins from the last 10 matches, against 2 for Kawa K.
China•WTA•Beijing•hard
Monday, 28 September 2026 at 08:50
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Kawa K.2-1Matsuda R.
- Set 1
- 7-6
- Set 2
- 2-6
- Set 3
- 6-3
Model win probability
Kawa K.Matsuda R.
30%
70%
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Model Prediction
Kawa K.
30%
Matsuda R.
70%
low confidenceData 70%hard0 H2H used
◀ Kawa K.Why the model leansMatsuda R. ▶
Ranking
+0.54
Surface
-0.30
Form
-0.48
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Kawa K. Form
Kawa K.
Matsuda R. Form
Matsuda R.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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