Tennis · Charlottesville · USA · hard
Kasnikowski M. vs Antonius M.
Thursday, 05 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Kasnikowski M. a 72% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 211 against No. 619 and 6 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 4. Bookmakers give Kasnikowski M. about 69% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view.
USA•Challenger•Charlottesville•hard
Thursday, 05 November 2026 at 22:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Kasnikowski M.Antonius M.
72%
28%
Kasnikowski M. · all surfaces (latest first)
W1d
L8d
W9d
L19d
W20d
W22d
W24d
L29d
L47d
L54d
On hard6–4 · 60%· won 1+ set 7/10
W1d
L8d
W9d
L19d
W20d
W22d
W24d
L29d
L54d
W55d
Antonius M. · all surfaces (latest first)
W2d
L17d
W18d
L22d
L39d
L59d
W60d
L70d
W72d
W109d
On hard4–6 · 40%· won 1+ set 6/10
W2d
L17d
W18d
L22d
L39d
L59d
W60d
L70d
W72d
L224d
Recent form
Kasnikowski M. · all surfacesAntonius M. · all surfaces
1010
5/105/10
5/105/10
50%50%
5/102/10
4/103/10
6/107/10
1/105/10
11 / 1012 / 13
+1-1
On hard (this match's surface)
Kasnikowski M. · last 10 on hardAntonius M. · last 10 on hard
1010
6/104/10
4/106/10
60%40%
5/102/10
3/104/10
7/106/10
2/104/10
13 / 910 / 14
+4-4
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 9.1%
Kasnikowski M.
1.32▼
Implied 69%
Edge +2.6%
Antonius M.
3.00▲
Implied 31%
Edge -2.6%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Kasnikowski M.
72%
Antonius M.
28%
high confidenceData 100%hard0 H2H used
◀ Kasnikowski M.Why the model leansAntonius M. ▶
Ranking
+0.45
Surface
+0.30
Form
+0.24
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Kasnikowski M. Form
Kasnikowski M.
Antonius M. Form
Antonius M.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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