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Tennis · Cincinnati · USA · hard

Jodar R. vs Shapovalov D.

Sunday, 16 August 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Jodar R.2-1Shapovalov D.
Set 1
7-5
Set 2
4-6
Set 3
7-5

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Jodar R. a 69% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 11 against No. 48 and 8 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 6. Jodar R. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • They last met on 11 Feb 2026, when Shapovalov D. won 2-0.
USA•ATP•Cincinnati•hard
Jodar R.
Age 19 · Rank #11
VS
Age 27 · Rank #48
Shapovalov D.
Sunday, 16 August 2026 at 02:10
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Jodar R.2-1Shapovalov D.
Set 1
7-5
Set 2
4-6
Set 3
7-5
Model win probability
Jodar R.Shapovalov D.
69%
31%
Head-to-head
0/11/1
01
1 meeting · 0 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Jodar R.
69%
Shapovalov D.
31%
high confidenceData 95%hard1 H2H used
◀ Jodar R.Why the model leansShapovalov D. ▶
Ranking
+0.62
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.18
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Jodar R. Form
Jodar R.
13 Aug2026
Jodar R.ATP #11 vs Nakashima B.ATP #22
0-2L
11 Aug2026
Jodar R.ATP #11 vs Fils A.ATP #21
2-0W
09 Aug2026
Lehecka J.ATP #14 vs Jodar R.ATP #11
0-2W
07 Aug2026
Jodar R.ATP #11 vs Musetti L.ATP #15
2-0W
05 Aug2026
Jodar R.ATP #11 vs Moutet C.ATP #60
2-1W
03 Aug2026
Fritz T.ATP #9 vs Jodar R.ATP #11
2-0L
02 Aug2026
Jodar R.ATP #11 vs Tabilo A.ATP #29
2-1W
01 Aug2026
Jodar R.ATP #11 vs Musetti L.ATP #15
2-1W
30 Jul2026
Jodar R.ATP #11 vs Nishikori K.ATP #479
2-0W
28 Jul2026
Fils A.ATP #21 vs Jodar R.ATP #11
0-2W
Shapovalov D. Form
Shapovalov D.
13 Aug2026
Shapovalov D.ATP #48 vs Mannarino A.ATP #52
2-0W
04 Aug2026
Svajda Z.ATP #84 vs Shapovalov D.ATP #48
1-1D
02 Aug2026
Gea A.ATP #85 vs Shapovalov D.ATP #48
2-0L
01 Aug2026
Norrie C.ATP #35 vs Shapovalov D.ATP #48
1-2W
31 Jul2026
Shapovalov D.ATP #48 vs Svrcina D.ATP #114
2-0W
30 Jul2026
Shapovalov D.ATP #48 vs Pacheco Mendez R.ATP #292
2-0W
29 Jul2026
Shapovalov D.ATP #48 vs Hijikata R.ATP #95
2-1W
29 Jun2026
Shapovalov D.ATP #48 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #72
0-2L
17 Jun2026
de Minaur A.ATP #8 vs Shapovalov D.ATP #48
2-0L
15 Jun2026
Pinnington Jones J.ATP #177 vs Shapovalov D.ATP #48
1-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
11 Feb2026
Shapovalov D.ATP #48 vs Jodar R.ATP #11
2-0

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