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Tennis · St Tropez · France · hard

Jade D. vs Peniston R.

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Jade D.2-1Peniston R.
Set 1
6-7
Set 2
6-2
Set 3
6-2

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Jade D. a 51% chance on hard courts. That rests on 4 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 2. Peniston R. is the higher-ranked player (No. 454 against No. 643), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Jade D. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • Peniston R. has lost 4 matches in a row.
France•Challenger•St Tropez•hard
Jade D.
Age 17 · Rank #643
VS
Age 30 · Rank #454
Peniston R.
Sunday, 20 September 2026 at 11:10
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Jade D.2-1Peniston R.
Set 1
6-7
Set 2
6-2
Set 3
6-2
Model win probability
Jade D.Peniston R.
51%
49%
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Model Prediction
Jade D.
51%
Peniston R.
49%
medium confidenceData 52%hard0 H2H used
◀ Jade D.Why the model leansPeniston R. ▶
Ranking
-0.15
Surface
-0.27
Form
+0.30
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Jade D. Form
Jade D.
10 Sept2026
Jade D.ATP #643 vs Lee J.ATP #1202
0-2L
07 Sept2026
Reddy V.ATP #2151 vs Jade D.ATP #643
0-2W
06 Sept2026
Jade D.ATP #643 vs Vaughan M.
1-1D
30 Aug2026
Jade D.ATP #643 vs Jadoun N.ATP #726
1-1D
29 Aug2026
Domenc M.ATP #1175 vs Jade D.ATP #643
0-1W
28 Aug2026
Jones R.ATP #1091 vs Jade D.ATP #643
0-2W
27 Aug2026
Abibsi A. vs Jade D.ATP #643
0-0D
26 Aug2026
Dhokia R.ATP #1526 vs Jade D.ATP #643
0-2W
18 Jul2026
Jade D.ATP #643 vs Cuenin S.ATP #307
0-1L
17 Jul2026
Jade D.ATP #643 vs Durasovic V.ATP #466
2-1W
Peniston R. Form
Peniston R.
07 Sept2026
Peniston R.ATP #454 vs Glinka D.ATP #170
0-2L
31 Aug2026
Overbeck C. E.ATP #289 vs Peniston R.ATP #454
2-0L
24 Aug2026
Ivanov I.ATP #508 vs Peniston R.ATP #454
2-1L
20 Feb2026
Peniston R.ATP #454 vs Basing M.ATP #219
0-1L
19 Feb2026
Peniston R.ATP #454 vs Rocha F.ATP #887
2-0W
17 Feb2026
Peniston R.ATP #454 vs Alujas R.ATP #756
2-0W
10 Feb2026
Barton H.ATP #265 vs Peniston R.ATP #454
2-1L
27 Jan2026
Wong C.ATP #112 vs Peniston R.ATP #454
2-0L
20 Jan2026
Chung H.ATP #549 vs Peniston R.ATP #454
2-0L
13 Jan2026
Burruchaga R. A.ATP #56 vs Peniston R.ATP #454
2-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.

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