Tennis · St Tropez · France · hard
Jade D. vs Peniston R.
Sunday, 20 September 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score · sets
Jade D.2-1Peniston R.
- Set 1
- 6-7
- Set 2
- 6-2
- Set 3
- 6-2
Prediction and result
Before the match, the model gave Jade D. a 51% chance on hard courts. That rests on 4 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 2. Peniston R. is the higher-ranked player (No. 454 against No. 643), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Jade D. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.
Key facts before the match
- Peniston R. has lost 4 matches in a row.
France•Challenger•St Tropez•hard
Sunday, 20 September 2026 at 11:10
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Jade D.2-1Peniston R.
- Set 1
- 6-7
- Set 2
- 6-2
- Set 3
- 6-2
Model win probability
Jade D.Peniston R.
51%
49%
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Model Prediction
Jade D.
51%
Peniston R.
49%
medium confidenceData 52%hard0 H2H used
◀ Jade D.Why the model leansPeniston R. ▶
Ranking
-0.15
Surface
-0.27
Form
+0.30
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Jade D. Form
Jade D.
Peniston R. Form
Peniston R.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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