Tennis · Helsinki · Finland · hard
Ivashka I. vs Samuel T.
Tuesday, 17 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Samuel T. a 60% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 95 against No. 223. Bookmakers give Samuel T. about 70% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market.
Key facts
- Ivashka I. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
Finland•Challenger•Helsinki•hard
Tuesday, 17 November 2026 at 12:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Ivashka I.Samuel T.
40%
60%
Ivashka I. · all surfaces (latest first)
L29d
L31d
D32d
W34d
W35d
W63d
W64d
W65d
W66d
W68d
2 straight losses · carried over from Almaty, Jinan — first match of this tournament
On hard7–2 · 78%· won 1+ set 9/9
L29d
L31d
D32d
W34d
W35d
W63d
W64d
W65d
W66d
W68d
2 straight losses · carried over from Almaty, Jinan — first match of this tournament
Samuel T. · all surfaces (latest first)
L5d
W6d
W7d
W8d
L10d
W11d
L17d
W18d
L26d
L39d
On hard5–5 · 50%· won 1+ set 5/10
L5d
W6d
W7d
W8d
L10d
W11d
L17d
W18d
L26d
L39d
Recent form
Ivashka I. · all surfacesSamuel T. · all surfaces
910
7/95/10
2/95/10
78%50%
5/94/10
0/95/10
9/95/10
4/91/10
16 / 610 / 11
+10-1
Limited sample — Ivashka I. has 9 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Ivashka I. · last 9 on hardSamuel T. · last 10 on hard
910
7/95/10
2/95/10
78%50%
5/94/10
0/95/10
9/95/10
4/91/10
16 / 610 / 11
+10-1
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 8.0%
Ivashka I.
3.10
Implied 30%
Edge +10.1%
Samuel T.
1.32▲
Implied 70%
Edge -10.1%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Ivashka I.
40%
Samuel T.
60%
low confidenceData 37%hard0 H2H used
◀ Ivashka I.Why the model leansSamuel T. ▶
Ranking
-0.36
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.39
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Ivashka I. Form
Ivashka I.
Samuel T. Form
Samuel T.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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