Tennis · Chengdu · China · hard
Hurkacz H. vs Shapovalov D.
Monday, 28 September 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score · sets
Hurkacz H.2-1Shapovalov D.
- Set 1
- 6-7
- Set 2
- 6-3
- Set 3
- 6-3
Prediction and result
Before the match, the model gave Hurkacz H. a 56% chance on hard courts. That rests on 8 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 6 and a 5-1 head-to-head lead. Hurkacz H. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.
Key facts before the match
- Hurkacz H. has won 3 matches in a row.
- Shapovalov D. has won 3 matches in a row.
- They last met on 1 Jun 2024, when Hurkacz H. won 3-1.
China•ATP•Chengdu•hard
Monday, 28 September 2026 at 14:25
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Hurkacz H.2-1Shapovalov D.
- Set 1
- 6-7
- Set 2
- 6-3
- Set 3
- 6-3
Model win probability
Hurkacz H.Shapovalov D.
56%
44%
Head-to-head
5/61/6
21
6 meetings · 3 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Hurkacz H.
56%
Shapovalov D.
44%
medium confidenceData 66%hard5 H2H used
◀ Hurkacz H.Why the model leansShapovalov D. ▶
Ranking
+0.04
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.04
H2H
+0.05
Model v2.3-2026-06
Hurkacz H. Form
Hurkacz H.
Shapovalov D. Form
Shapovalov D.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
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