Tennis · Sydney · Australia · hard
Holmgren A. vs Suresh D.
Tuesday, 17 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Holmgren A. a 63% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 265 against No. 448 and 6 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 4. Bookmakers give Holmgren A. about 62% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view.
Key facts
- Holmgren A. has won 5 matches in a row.
Australia•Challenger•Sydney•hard
Tuesday, 17 November 2026 at 02:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Holmgren A.Suresh D.
63%
37%
Holmgren A. · all surfaces (latest first)
W0d
W1d
W2d
W4d
W5d
L11d
W13d
L19d
L33d
L40d
5-match win streak · carried over from Brisbane 3 — first match of this tournament
Fresh off a deep run at Brisbane 3 with little time to recover — sharpness may be down early here.
On hard6–4 · 60%· won 1+ set 8/10
W0d
W1d
W2d
W4d
W5d
L11d
W13d
L19d
L33d
L40d
5-match win streak · carried over from Brisbane 3 — first match of this tournament
Fresh off a deep run at Brisbane 3 with little time to recover — sharpness may be down early here.
Suresh D. · all surfaces (latest first)
L5d
L24d
W25d
L31d
W32d
L58d
L82d
W83d
L84d
W85d
2 straight losses · carried over from Brisbane 3, M25 Mumbai 2 — first match of this tournament
On hard4–5 · 44%· won 1+ set 5/9
L5d
L24d
W25d
L31d
W32d
L82d
W83d
L84d
W85d
L94d
2 straight losses · carried over from Brisbane 3, M25 Mumbai 2 — first match of this tournament
Recent form
Holmgren A. · all surfacesSuresh D. · all surfaces
109
6/104/9
4/105/9
60%44%
4/102/9
2/103/9
8/106/9
4/104/9
14 / 1010 / 12
+4-2
Limited sample — Suresh D. has 9 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Holmgren A. · last 10 on hardSuresh D. · last 9 on hard
109
6/104/9
4/105/9
60%44%
4/102/9
2/104/9
8/105/9
4/103/9
14 / 109 / 12
+4-3
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 9.7%
Holmgren A.
1.47▼
Implied 62%
Edge +1.0%
Suresh D.
2.40▲
Implied 38%
Edge -1.0%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Holmgren A.
63%
Suresh D.
37%
high confidenceData 95%hard0 H2H used
◀ Holmgren A.Why the model leansSuresh D. ▶
Ranking
+0.22
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.25
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Holmgren A. Form
Holmgren A.
Suresh D. Form
Suresh D.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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