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Tennis · Brisbane 3 · Australia · hard

Holmgren A. vs Sekulic P.

Tuesday, 10 November 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model gives Holmgren A. a 52% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 265 against No. 332. Bookmakers give Holmgren A. about 62% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market.

Key facts

  • Holmgren A. has won just 3 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
  • Sekulic P. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
  • Recent form favours Sekulic P.: 7 wins from the last 10 matches, against 3 for Holmgren A.
Australia•Challenger•Brisbane 3•hard
Holmgren A.
Age 28 · Rank #265
VS
Age 23 · Rank #332
Sekulic P.
Tuesday, 10 November 2026 at 07:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Holmgren A.Sekulic P.
52%
48%
Holmgren A. · all surfaces (latest first)
L6d
W8d
L14d
L28d
L35d
L39d
W40d
W43d
L64d
L70d
On hard3–7 · 30%· won 1+ set 5/10
L6d
W8d
L14d
L28d
L35d
L39d
W40d
W43d
L64d
L70d
Sekulic P. · all surfaces (latest first)
L9d
W10d
W11d
W12d
W13d
L18d
W18d
W20d
L31d
W32d
On hard7–3 · 70%· won 1+ set 8/10
L9d
W10d
W11d
W12d
W13d
L18d
W18d
W20d
L31d
W32d
Recent form
Holmgren A. · all surfacesSekulic P. · all surfaces
1010
3/107/10
7/103/10
30%70%
3/105/10
5/102/10
5/108/10
2/103/10
8 / 1415 / 8
-6+7
On hard (this match's surface)
Holmgren A. · last 10 on hardSekulic P. · last 10 on hard
1010
3/107/10
7/103/10
30%70%
3/105/10
5/102/10
5/108/10
2/103/10
8 / 1415 / 8
-6+7
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 8.8%
Holmgren A.
1.47
Implied 62%
Edge -10.5%
Sekulic P.
2.45▲
Implied 38%
Edge +10.5%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Holmgren A.
52%
Sekulic P.
48%
low confidenceData 41%hard0 H2H used
◀ Holmgren A.Why the model leansSekulic P. ▶
Ranking
+0.09
Surface
0.00
Form
-0.30
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Holmgren A. Form
Holmgren A.
04 Nov2026
Shimizu Y.ATP #362 vs Holmgren A.ATP #265
2-0L
02 Nov2026
Michalski D.ATP #315 vs Holmgren A.ATP #265
0-2W
27 Oct2026
Holmgren A.ATP #265 vs Hara Friend J. D.ATP #256
0-2L
13 Oct2026
Nardi L.ATP #263 vs Holmgren A.ATP #265
2-1L
06 Oct2026
Holmgren A.ATP #265 vs Martinez P.ATP #124
1-2L
02 Oct2026
Holmgren A.ATP #265 vs Rocha H.ATP #111
0-2L
01 Oct2026
Holmgren A.ATP #265 vs Guerrieri A.ATP #160
2-0W
28 Sept2026
Bonzi B.ATP #91 vs Holmgren A.ATP #265
0-2W
07 Sept2026
Holmgren A.ATP #265 vs Ursu V.ATP #443
0-2L
01 Sept2026
Holmgren A.ATP #265 vs Balshaw F.ATP #175
0-2L
Sekulic P. Form
Sekulic P.
01 Nov2026
Dellavedova M.ATP #224 vs Sekulic P.ATP #332
2-1L
31 Oct2026
Ellis B.ATP #393 vs Sekulic P.ATP #332
1-2W
30 Oct2026
Sach T.ATP #502 vs Sekulic P.ATP #332
0-2W
29 Oct2026
Hoeyeraal H.ATP #673 vs Sekulic P.ATP #332
0-2W
28 Oct2026
Talic Z.ATP #1715 vs Sekulic P.ATP #332
0-2W
23 Oct2026
Hoole C.ATP #636 vs Sekulic P.ATP #332
2-0L
23 Oct2026
Dong C.ATP #1077 vs Sekulic P.ATP #332
1-2W
21 Oct2026
Marinkov P.ATP #679 vs Sekulic P.ATP #332
0-2W
10 Oct2026
Vujic S.ATP #793 vs Sekulic P.ATP #332
2-0L
09 Oct2026
Ryan Ziegann S.ATP #786 vs Sekulic P.ATP #332
0-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.

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