Tennis · Helsinki · Finland · hard
Guerrieri A. vs Ymer E.
Tuesday, 17 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Guerrieri A. a 61% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 160 against No. 254 and 5 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 1. Bookmakers give Guerrieri A. about 59% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view.
Key facts
- Ymer E. has lost 6 matches in a row.
- Recent form favours Guerrieri A.: 5 wins from the last 10 matches, against 1 for Ymer E.
Finland•Challenger•Helsinki•hard
Tuesday, 17 November 2026 at 12:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Guerrieri A.Ymer E.
61%
39%
Guerrieri A. · all surfaces (latest first)
L27d
W28d
W29d
L32d
W34d
L45d
W47d
L52d
W55d
L74d
On hard5–5 · 50%· won 1+ set 6/10
L27d
W28d
W29d
L32d
W34d
L45d
W47d
L52d
W55d
L74d
Ymer E. · all surfaces (latest first)
L7d
L19d
L27d
L33d
L41d
L44d
D46d
L54d
L58d
W60d
6 straight losses · carried over from Stockholm, Ningbo — first match of this tournament
On hard1–8 · 11%· won 1+ set 5/9
L7d
L19d
L27d
L33d
L41d
L44d
D46d
L54d
L58d
W60d
6 straight losses · carried over from Stockholm, Ningbo — first match of this tournament
Recent form
Guerrieri A. · all surfacesYmer E. · all surfaces
109
5/101/9
5/108/9
50%11%
2/101/9
4/104/9
6/105/9
5/104/9
11 / 146 / 16
-3-10
Limited sample — Ymer E. has 9 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Guerrieri A. · last 10 on hardYmer E. · last 9 on hard
109
5/101/9
5/108/9
50%11%
2/101/9
4/104/9
6/105/9
5/104/9
11 / 146 / 16
-3-10
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 9.0%
Guerrieri A.
1.55
Implied 59%
Edge +1.8%
Ymer E.
2.25
Implied 41%
Edge -1.8%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Guerrieri A.
61%
Ymer E.
39%
high confidenceData 95%hard0 H2H used
◀ Guerrieri A.Why the model leansYmer E. ▶
Ranking
+0.19
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.08
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Guerrieri A. Form
Guerrieri A.
Ymer E. Form
Ymer E.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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