Gorgodze E. vs Kawa K.

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Gorgodze E. a 57% chance on hard courts. That rests on 4 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 1. Kawa K. is the higher-ranked player (No. 129 against No. 161), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Gorgodze E. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Recent form favours Gorgodze E.: 8 wins from the last 10 matches, against 4 for Kawa K.