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Tennis · Knoxville · USA · hard

Giron M. vs Kasnikowski M.

Tuesday, 10 November 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model gives Giron M. a 53% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 94 against No. 207. Bookmakers give Giron M. about 61% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market.

Key facts

  • Giron M. has won just 2 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
  • Recent form favours Kasnikowski M.: 6 wins from the last 10 matches, against 2 for Giron M.
USA•Challenger•Knoxville•hard
Giron M.
Age 33 · Rank #94
VS
Age 23 · Rank #207
Kasnikowski M.
Tuesday, 10 November 2026 at 18:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Giron M.Kasnikowski M.
53%
47%
Giron M. · all surfaces (latest first)
L3d
W6d
W7d
L17d
L21d
L33d
L43d
L69d
L78d
L89d
On hard2–8 · 20%· won 1+ set 6/10
L3d
W6d
W7d
L17d
L21d
L33d
L43d
L69d
L78d
L89d
Kasnikowski M. · all surfaces (latest first)
L4d
W5d
W6d
L13d
W14d
L24d
W25d
W27d
W29d
L34d
On hard6–4 · 60%· won 1+ set 8/10
L4d
W5d
W6d
L13d
W14d
L24d
W25d
W27d
W29d
L34d
Recent form
Giron M. · all surfacesKasnikowski M. · all surfaces
1010
2/106/10
8/104/10
20%60%
1/105/10
4/102/10
6/108/10
5/103/10
9 / 1814 / 9
-9+5
On hard (this match's surface)
Giron M. · last 10 on hardKasnikowski M. · last 10 on hard
1010
2/106/10
8/104/10
20%60%
1/105/10
4/102/10
6/108/10
5/103/10
9 / 1814 / 9
-9+5
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 9.2%
Giron M.
1.50▼
Implied 61%
Edge -8.0%
Kasnikowski M.
2.35
Implied 39%
Edge +8.0%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Giron M.
53%
Kasnikowski M.
47%
low confidenceData 62%hard0 H2H used
◀ Giron M.Why the model leansKasnikowski M. ▶
Ranking
+0.33
Surface
0.00
Form
-0.36
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Giron M. Form
Giron M.
07 Nov2026
Giron M.ATP #94 vs Chidekh C.ATP #129
0-2L
04 Nov2026
Giron M.ATP #94 vs Boulais J.ATP #411
2-1W
03 Nov2026
Giron M.ATP #94 vs Dietrich D.ATP #187
2-0W
24 Oct2026
Giron M.ATP #94 vs Hanfmann Y.ATP #67
1-2L
20 Oct2026
Struff J-l.ATP #37 vs Giron M.ATP #94
2-0L
08 Oct2026
Giron M.ATP #94 vs Baez S.ATP #52
1-2L
28 Sept2026
Munar J.ATP #70 vs Giron M.ATP #94
2-1L
02 Sept2026
Giron M.ATP #94 vs Buse I.ATP #32
2-3L
24 Aug2026
Suresh D.ATP #448 vs Giron M.ATP #94
2-0L
13 Aug2026
Giron M.ATP #94 vs Rocha H.ATP #111
0-2L
Kasnikowski M. Form
Kasnikowski M.
06 Nov2026
Kasnikowski M.ATP #207 vs Andrade A.ATP #211
1-2L
05 Nov2026
Kasnikowski M.ATP #207 vs Antonius M.ATP #581
2-1W
04 Nov2026
Draxl L.ATP #165 vs Kasnikowski M.ATP #207
0-2W
28 Oct2026
Mayo A.ATP #235 vs Kasnikowski M.ATP #207
2-1L
27 Oct2026
Trotter J. K.ATP #516 vs Kasnikowski M.ATP #207
0-2W
17 Oct2026
Kasnikowski M.ATP #207 vs Dzumhur D.ATP #90
0-2L
16 Oct2026
Kasnikowski M.ATP #207 vs Travaglia S.ATP #177
2-0W
14 Oct2026
Guerrieri A.ATP #160 vs Kasnikowski M.ATP #207
0-2W
12 Oct2026
Kasnikowski M.ATP #207 vs Cretu C.ATP #273
2-0W
07 Oct2026
Henning P.ATP #249 vs Kasnikowski M.ATP #207
2-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.

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