Ghazouani Durand Y. vs Poling K.

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Ghazouani Durand Y. a 59% chance on hard courts. That rests on 7 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 5. Poling K. is the higher-ranked player (No. 457 against No. 547), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Poling K. won 2-0 in sets, against the model's 59% for Ghazouani Durand Y.

Key facts before the match

• Poling K. has lost 3 matches in a row.