Geerts M. vs Poullain L.

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Poullain L. a 53% chance on hard courts. That rests on 8 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 5. Geerts M. is the higher-ranked player (No. 348 against No. 369), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Poullain L. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Poullain L. has won 7 matches in a row.
• They last met on 4 Mar 2021, when Poullain L. won 1-0.