Tennis · Finals Indian Wells · World · hard
Gauff C. vs Noskova L.
Wednesday, 11 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Gauff C. a 63% chance on hard courts. Bookmakers give Gauff C. about 62% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view.
Key facts
- Gauff C. has won 8 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
- Noskova L. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
- They last met on 27 Apr 2026, when Noskova L. won 2-1.
World•WTA•Finals Indian Wells•hard
Wednesday, 11 November 2026 at 00:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Gauff C.Noskova L.
63%
37%
Gauff C. · all surfaces (latest first)
W1d
L34d
W36d
W38d
L60d
W62d
W63d
W66d
W67d
W69d
On hard8–2 · 80%· won 1+ set 9/10
W1d
L34d
W36d
W38d
L60d
W62d
W63d
W66d
W67d
W69d
Noskova L. · all surfaces (latest first)
W2d
L35d
W37d
W39d
W44d
W46d
W49d
L63d
W65d
W67d
On hard7–3 · 70%· won 1+ set 8/10
W2d
L35d
W37d
W39d
L63d
W65d
W67d
W68d
W71d
L83d
Recent form
Gauff C. · all surfacesNoskova L. · all surfaces
1010
8/108/10
2/102/10
80%80%
5/106/10
1/101/10
9/109/10
4/103/10
17 / 717 / 6
+10+11
On hard (this match's surface)
Gauff C. · last 10 on hardNoskova L. · last 10 on hard
1010
8/107/10
2/103/10
80%70%
5/105/10
1/102/10
9/108/10
4/103/10
17 / 715 / 8
+10+7
Head-to-head
2/31/3
20
3 meetings · 1 went to a deciding set
Market Odds
Vig 6.6%
Gauff C.
1.52
Implied 62%
Edge +1.3%
Noskova L.
2.45
Implied 38%
Edge -1.3%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Gauff C.
63%
Noskova L.
37%
high confidenceData 100%hard2 H2H used
◀ Gauff C.Why the model leansNoskova L. ▶
Ranking
+0.29
Surface
+0.15
Form
+0.06
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Gauff C. Form
Gauff C.
Noskova L. Form
Noskova L.
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