Tennis · Knoxville · USA · hard
Galarneau A. vs Kozlov S.
Tuesday, 10 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Kozlov S. a 59% chance on hard courts. That rests on 6 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 3. Galarneau A. is the higher-ranked player (No. 192 against No. 205), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Bookmakers give Kozlov S. about 57% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view.
Key facts
- Galarneau A. has lost 5 matches in a row.
- Kozlov S. has won 5 matches in a row.
- They last met on 20 Jan 2026, when Kozlov S. won 2-1.
USA•Challenger•Knoxville•hard
Tuesday, 10 November 2026 at 18:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Galarneau A.Kozlov S.
41%
59%
Galarneau A. · all surfaces (latest first)
L7d
L14d
L36d
L41d
L48d
W49d
L56d
L60d
W62d
W64d
5 straight losses · carried over from Charlottesville, Sioux Falls — first match of this tournament
On hard3–7 · 30%· won 1+ set 5/10
L7d
L14d
L36d
L41d
L48d
W49d
L56d
L60d
W62d
W64d
5 straight losses · carried over from Charlottesville, Sioux Falls — first match of this tournament
Kozlov S. · all surfaces (latest first)
W2d
W3d
W4d
W6d
W7d
L12d
D14d
L40d
W41d
L49d
5-match win streak · carried over from Charlottesville — first match of this tournament
Fresh off a deep run at Charlottesville with little time to recover — sharpness may be down early here.
On hard6–3 · 67%· won 1+ set 7/9
W2d
W3d
W4d
W6d
W7d
L12d
D14d
L40d
W41d
L49d
5-match win streak · carried over from Charlottesville — first match of this tournament
Fresh off a deep run at Charlottesville with little time to recover — sharpness may be down early here.
Recent form
Galarneau A. · all surfacesKozlov S. · all surfaces
109
3/106/9
7/103/9
30%67%
3/104/9
5/102/9
5/107/9
2/103/9
8 / 1413 / 8
-6+5
Limited sample — Kozlov S. has 9 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Galarneau A. · last 10 on hardKozlov S. · last 9 on hard
109
3/106/9
7/103/9
30%67%
3/104/9
5/102/9
5/107/9
2/103/9
8 / 1413 / 8
-6+5
Head-to-head
1/32/3
10
3 meetings · 2 went to a deciding set
Market Odds
Vig 9.0%
Galarneau A.
2.15▼
Implied 43%
Edge -1.7%
Kozlov S.
1.60▲
Implied 57%
Edge +1.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Galarneau A.
41%
Kozlov S.
59%
high confidenceData 95%hard3 H2H used
◀ Galarneau A.Why the model leansKozlov S. ▶
Ranking
+0.03
Surface
0.00
Form
-0.25
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Galarneau A. Form
Galarneau A.
Kozlov S. Form
Kozlov S.
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