Tennis · Stockholm · Sweden · hard
Fritz T. vs Norrie C.
Wednesday, 11 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Fritz T. a 72% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 10 against No. 53, 7 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 3 and a 7-3 head-to-head lead. Bookmakers give Fritz T. about 69% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view.
Key facts
- Recent form favours Fritz T.: 7 wins from the last 10 matches, against 3 for Norrie C.
- They last met on 31 Dec 2023, when Fritz T. won 2-0.
Sweden•ATP•Stockholm•hard
Wednesday, 11 November 2026 at 13:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Fritz T.Norrie C.
72%
28%
Fritz T. · all surfaces (latest first)
L4d
W5d
W6d
W7d
L10d
W11d
W12d
W13d
L16d
W17d
On hard6–3 · 67%· won 1+ set 7/9
L4d
W5d
W6d
W7d
L10d
W11d
W12d
W13d
L16d
W17d
Norrie C. · all surfaces (latest first)
W1d
L7d
W8d
L12d
W14d
L21d
L33d
L40d
L72d
L86d
On hard3–7 · 30%· won 1+ set 8/10
W1d
L7d
W8d
L12d
W14d
L21d
L33d
L40d
L72d
L86d
Recent form
Fritz T. · all surfacesNorrie C. · all surfaces
910
6/93/10
3/97/10
67%30%
4/92/10
2/92/10
7/98/10
3/96/10
13 / 811 / 16
+5-5
Limited sample — Fritz T. has 9 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Fritz T. · last 9 on hardNorrie C. · last 10 on hard
910
6/93/10
3/97/10
67%30%
4/92/10
2/92/10
7/98/10
3/96/10
13 / 811 / 16
+5-5
Head-to-head
9/156/15
42
15 meetings · 10 went to a deciding set
Market Odds
Vig 6.3%
Fritz T.
1.37▲
Implied 69%
Edge +3.4%
Norrie C.
3.00▼
Implied 31%
Edge -3.4%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Fritz T.
72%
Norrie C.
28%
high confidenceData 95%hard14 H2H used
◀ Fritz T.Why the model leansNorrie C. ▶
Ranking
+0.70
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.13
H2H
+0.14
Model v2.3-2026-06
Fritz T. Form
Fritz T.
Norrie C. Form
Norrie C.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
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