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Tennis · Cincinnati · USA · hard

Fritz T. vs Nakashima B.

Friday, 21 August 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Fritz T.1-2Nakashima B.
Set 1
6-7
Set 2
6-4
Set 3
3-6

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Fritz T. a 63% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 9 against No. 22 and a 6-2 head-to-head lead. Nakashima B. won 2-1 in sets, against the model's 63% for Fritz T.

Key facts before the match

  • Fritz T. has won 8 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
  • Nakashima B. has won 8 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
  • Fritz T. has won 3 matches in a row.
  • Nakashima B. has won 3 matches in a row.
  • They last met on 2 Aug 2026, when Fritz T. won 2-1.
USA•ATP•Cincinnati•hard
Fritz T.
Age 28 · Rank #9
VS
Age 25 · Rank #22
Nakashima B.
Friday, 21 August 2026 at 22:20
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Fritz T.1-2Nakashima B.
Set 1
6-7
Set 2
6-4
Set 3
3-6
Model win probability
Fritz T.Nakashima B.
63%
37%
Head-to-head
6/82/8
41
8 meetings · 3 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Fritz T.
63%
Nakashima B.
37%
high confidenceData 100%hard5 H2H used
◀ Fritz T.Why the model leansNakashima B. ▶
Ranking
+0.38
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.12
H2H
+0.02
Model v2.3-2026-06
Fritz T. Form
Fritz T.
20 Aug2026
Fritz T.ATP #9 vs O'connell C.ATP #129
2-0W
18 Aug2026
Fritz T.ATP #9 vs Merida Aguilar D.ATP #40
2-0W
16 Aug2026
Fritz T.ATP #9 vs Michelsen A.ATP #41
2-0W
05 Aug2026
Tirante T. A.ATP #50 vs Fritz T.ATP #9
2-0L
03 Aug2026
Fritz T.ATP #9 vs Jodar R.ATP #11
2-0W
02 Aug2026
Nakashima B.ATP #22 vs Fritz T.ATP #9
1-2W
31 Jul2026
Fritz T.ATP #9 vs Michelsen A.ATP #41
2-1W
29 Jul2026
Fritz T.ATP #9 vs Majchrzak K.ATP #68
2-0W
27 Jul2026
Fritz T.ATP #9 vs Bergs Z.ATP #33
2-0W
08 Jul2026
Fritz T.ATP #9 vs Zverev A.ATP #3
0-3L
Nakashima B. Form
Nakashima B.
20 Aug2026
Borges N.ATP #47 vs Nakashima B.ATP #22
1-2W
18 Aug2026
Nakashima B.ATP #22 vs Medvedev D.ATP #7
2-1W
16 Aug2026
Nakashima B.ATP #22 vs Kovacevic A.ATP #96
2-0W
14 Aug2026
Shelton B.ATP #6 vs Nakashima B.ATP #22
2-0L
13 Aug2026
Jodar R.ATP #11 vs Nakashima B.ATP #22
0-2W
11 Aug2026
Darderi L.ATP #20 vs Nakashima B.ATP #22
0-2W
08 Aug2026
Rinderknech A.ATP #28 vs Nakashima B.ATP #22
1-2W
07 Aug2026
Nakashima B.ATP #22 vs Droguet T.ATP #111
2-1W
05 Aug2026
Nakashima B.ATP #22 vs Altmaier D.ATP #65
2-0W
02 Aug2026
Nakashima B.ATP #22 vs Fritz T.ATP #9
1-2L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
02 Aug2026
Nakashima B.ATP #22 vs Fritz T.ATP #9
1-2
12 Feb2026
Fritz T.ATP #9 vs Nakashima B.ATP #22
2-0
14 Aug2024
Fritz T.ATP #9 vs Nakashima B.ATP #22
1-2
10 Oct2021
Nakashima B.ATP #22 vs Fritz T.ATP #9
0-2
30 Jun2021
Fritz T.ATP #9 vs Nakashima B.ATP #22
3-1
29 Jul2020
Nakashima B.ATP #22 vs Fritz T.ATP #9
0-1
21 Jul2020
Fritz T.ATP #9 vs Nakashima B.ATP #22
1-0
27 Dec2019
Fritz T.ATP #9 vs Nakashima B.ATP #22
0-2

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