Fearnley J. vs Mannarino A.

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Fearnley J. a 54% chance on hard courts. That rests on 6 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 4. Mannarino A. is the higher-ranked player (No. 47 against No. 110), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Fearnley J. won 2-0 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Recent form favours Fearnley J.: 9 wins from the last 10 matches, against 4 for Mannarino A.
• They last met on 13 Sept 2024, when Fearnley J. won 2-0.