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Tennis · Vienna · Austria · hard

Fearnley J. vs Carreno-Busta P.

Saturday, 24 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Fearnley J.2-1Carreno-Busta P.
Set 1
6-4
Set 2
3-6
Set 3
6-3

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Fearnley J. a 58% chance on hard courts. Carreno-Busta P. is the higher-ranked player (No. 74 against No. 87), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Fearnley J. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.

Austria•ATP•Vienna•hard
Fearnley J.
Age 25 · Rank #87
VS
Age 35 · Rank #74
Carreno-Busta P.
Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 12:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Fearnley J.2-1Carreno-Busta P.
Set 1
6-4
Set 2
3-6
Set 3
6-3
Model win probability
Fearnley J.Carreno-Busta P.
58%
42%
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Model Prediction
Fearnley J.
58%
Carreno-Busta P.
42%
high confidenceData 90%hard0 H2H used
◀ Fearnley J.Why the model leansCarreno-Busta P. ▶
Ranking
-0.07
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.20
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Fearnley J. Form
Fearnley J.
21 Oct2026
Chidekh C.ATP #152 vs Fearnley J.ATP #87
2-0L
20 Oct2026
Fearnley J.ATP #87 vs Gaston H.ATP #93
2-0W
18 Oct2026
Fearnley J.ATP #87 vs Dzumhur D.ATP #83
0-2L
17 Oct2026
Fearnley J.ATP #87 vs Nardi L.ATP #241
2-0W
16 Oct2026
Fearnley J.ATP #87 vs Mrva M.ATP #234
2-0W
15 Oct2026
Fearnley J.ATP #87 vs Kumstat J.ATP #192
2-0W
13 Oct2026
Fearnley J.ATP #87 vs Loffhagen G.ATP #450
2-0W
01 Oct2026
Montes-de la Torre I.ATP #185 vs Fearnley J.ATP #87
1-0L
30 Sept2026
Sanchez Quilez A.ATP #323 vs Fearnley J.ATP #87
0-2W
02 Sept2026
Etcheverry T. M.ATP #29 vs Fearnley J.ATP #87
3-1L
Carreno-Busta P. Form
Carreno-busta P.
12 Oct2026
Carreno-busta P.ATP #74 vs Auger-aliassime F.ATP #7
1-2L
10 Oct2026
Tabilo A.ATP #31 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #74
1-2W
08 Oct2026
Navone M.ATP #45 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #74
1-2W
02 Oct2026
Medvedev D.ATP #5 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #74
2-0L
29 Sept2026
Mannarino A.ATP #79 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #74
0-2W
28 Sept2026
Zhou Y.ATP #280 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #74
0-2W
30 Aug2026
Lehecka J.ATP #20 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #74
3-1L
24 Aug2026
Carreno-busta P.ATP #74 vs Vallejo D.
0-1L
16 Aug2026
Rublev A.ATP #22 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #74
2-0L
14 Aug2026
Machac T.ATP #72 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #74
0-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.

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