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Tennis · Tokyo · Japan · hard

Etcheverry T. M. vs Tsitsipas S.

Thursday, 01 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Etcheverry T. M.1-2Tsitsipas S.
Set 1
6-4
Set 2
3-6
Set 3
4-6

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Tsitsipas S. a 55% chance on hard courts. That rests on 7 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 4. Etcheverry T. M. is the higher-ranked player (No. 30 against No. 44), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Tsitsipas S. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • Tsitsipas S. has won 4 matches in a row.
  • Recent form favours Tsitsipas S.: 8 wins from the last 10 matches, against 4 for Etcheverry T. M.
  • They last met on 27 Jun 2025, when Etcheverry T. M. won 2-1.
Japan•ATP•Tokyo•hard
Etcheverry T. M.
Age 27 · Rank #30
VS
Age 28 · Rank #44
Tsitsipas S.
Thursday, 01 October 2026 at 06:40
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Etcheverry T. M.1-2Tsitsipas S.
Set 1
6-4
Set 2
3-6
Set 3
4-6
Model win probability
Etcheverry T. M.Tsitsipas S.
45%
55%
Head-to-head
1/32/3
02
3 meetings · 2 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Etcheverry T. M.
45%
Tsitsipas S.
55%
low confidenceData 70%hard0 H2H used
◀ Etcheverry T. M.Why the model leansTsitsipas S. ▶
Ranking
+0.16
Surface
+0.15
Form
-0.24
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Etcheverry T. M. Form
Etcheverry T. M.
25 Sept2026
Jacquet K.ATP #86 vs Etcheverry T. M.ATP #30
2-0L
06 Sept2026
Michelsen A.ATP #34 vs Etcheverry T. M.ATP #30
3-0L
05 Sept2026
Etcheverry T. M.ATP #30 vs Navone M.ATP #45
3-0W
02 Sept2026
Etcheverry T. M.ATP #30 vs Fearnley J.ATP #94
3-1W
31 Aug2026
Etcheverry T. M.ATP #30 vs Kopriva V.ATP #68
3-0W
16 Aug2026
Atmane T.ATP #99 vs Etcheverry T. M.ATP #30
2-0L
05 Aug2026
Borges N.ATP #49 vs Etcheverry T. M.ATP #30
2-0L
28 Jul2026
Nakashima B.ATP #17 vs Etcheverry T. M.ATP #30
2-0L
24 Jul2026
Bublik A.ATP #20 vs Etcheverry T. M.ATP #30
2-0L
23 Jul2026
Etcheverry T. M.ATP #30 vs Buse I.ATP #35
2-0W
Tsitsipas S. Form
Tsitsipas S.
29 Sept2026
Tsitsipas S.ATP #44 vs Hijikata R.ATP #82
2-0W
28 Sept2026
Tsitsipas S.ATP #44 vs Nishioka Y.ATP #214
2-0W
20 Sept2026
Molcan A.ATP #96 vs Tsitsipas S.ATP #44
1-2W
19 Sept2026
Gombos N.ATP #349 vs Tsitsipas S.ATP #44
0-2W
07 Sept2026
Shelton B.ATP #4 vs Tsitsipas S.ATP #44
3-0L
05 Sept2026
Lehecka J.ATP #23 vs Tsitsipas S.ATP #44
1-3W
03 Sept2026
Harris L.ATP #125 vs Tsitsipas S.ATP #44
1-3W
31 Aug2026
Tsitsipas S.ATP #44 vs Fils A.ATP #9
3-1W
27 Aug2026
Kovacevic A.ATP #79 vs Tsitsipas S.ATP #44
2-0L
25 Aug2026
Brooksby J.ATP #101 vs Tsitsipas S.ATP #44
0-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
27 Jun2025
Etcheverry T. M.ATP #30 vs Tsitsipas S.ATP #44
2-1
26 May2025
Etcheverry T. M.ATP #30 vs Tsitsipas S.ATP #44
0-3
10 Apr2024
Etcheverry T. M.ATP #30 vs Tsitsipas S.ATP #44
0-2

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