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Tennis · Lexington · USA · hard

Echargui M. vs Johnson S.

Tuesday, 04 August 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Echargui M.0-2Johnson S.
Set 1
4-6
Set 2
3-6

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Johnson S. a 67% chance on hard courts. That rests on 8 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 2. Echargui M. is the higher-ranked player (No. 194 against No. 524), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Johnson S. won 2-0 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • Recent form favours Johnson S.: 8 wins from the last 10 matches, against 3 for Echargui M.
USA•Challenger•Lexington•hard
Echargui M.
Age 33 · Rank #194
VS
Age 23 · Rank #524
Johnson S.
Tuesday, 04 August 2026 at 22:25
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Echargui M.0-2Johnson S.
Set 1
4-6
Set 2
3-6
Model win probability
Echargui M.Johnson S.
33%
67%
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Model Prediction
Echargui M.
33%
Johnson S.
67%
low confidenceData 70%hard0 H2H used
◀ Echargui M.Why the model leansJohnson S. ▶
Ranking
+0.42
Surface
-0.15
Form
-0.48
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Echargui M. Form
Echargui M.
26 Jul2026
Martin A.ATP #340 vs Echargui M.ATP #194
2-0L
25 Jul2026
Lee J.ATP #1771 vs Echargui M.ATP #194
0-2W
20 Jul2026
Echargui M.ATP #194 vs Harris L.ATP #179
0-2L
14 Jul2026
Suresh D.ATP #393 vs Echargui M.ATP #194
2-1L
25 Jun2026
Gaston H.ATP #96 vs Echargui M.ATP #194
3-1L
24 Jun2026
Smith K.ATP #195 vs Echargui M.ATP #194
1-2W
22 Jun2026
Butvilas E.ATP #268 vs Echargui M.ATP #194
1-2W
15 Jun2026
Faria J.ATP #79 vs Echargui M.ATP #194
2-0L
02 Jun2026
Echargui M.ATP #194 vs Tseng C. H.ATP #272
1-2L
26 May2026
Bertola R.ATP #176 vs Echargui M.ATP #194
2-1L
Johnson S. Form
Johnson S.
03 Aug2026
Colby R.ATP #664 vs Johnson S.ATP #524
1-2W
02 Aug2026
Forbes M.ATP #771 vs Johnson S.ATP #524
0-2W
21 Jul2026
Johnson S.ATP #524 vs Wong C.ATP #92
0-2L
19 Jul2026
Tomic B.ATP #160 vs Johnson S.ATP #524
2-1L
18 Jul2026
Wong C.ATP #92 vs Johnson S.ATP #524
0-2W
16 Jul2026
Wolf J.j.ATP #282 vs Johnson S.ATP #524
0-2W
15 Jul2026
Johnson S.ATP #524 vs Bertola R.ATP #176
2-0W
12 Jul2026
Johnson S.ATP #524 vs Zamora N.ATP #783
2-0W
11 Jul2026
Johnson S.ATP #524 vs Klaassen S.ATP #1380
2-0W
10 Jul2026
Johnson S.ATP #524 vs Hohmann R.ATP #1029
2-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.

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