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Tennis · Knoxville · USA · hard

Draxl L. vs Nesterov P.

Wednesday, 11 November 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model gives Draxl L. a 65% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 165 against No. 282. Bookmakers give Draxl L. about 70% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market.

USA•Challenger•Knoxville•hard
Draxl L.
Draxl L.
Age 24 · Rank #165
VS
Nesterov P.
Age 23 · Rank #282
Nesterov P.
Wednesday, 11 November 2026 at 23:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Draxl L.Nesterov P.
65%
35%
Draxl L. · all surfaces (latest first)
W1d
L7d
L10d
W10d
W11d
D12d
W15d
L25d
W26d
W27d
On hard6–3 · 67%· won 1+ set 7/9
W1d
L7d
L10d
W10d
W11d
D12d
W15d
L25d
W26d
W27d
Nesterov P. · all surfaces (latest first)
W1d
L8d
L31d
L34d
W36d
W37d
W38d
L43d
W44d
W45d
On hard6–4 · 60%· won 1+ set 8/10
W1d
L8d
L31d
L34d
W36d
W37d
W38d
L43d
W44d
W45d
Recent form
Draxl L. · all surfacesNesterov P. · all surfaces
910
6/96/10
3/94/10
67%60%
2/92/10
2/92/10
7/98/10
5/96/10
13 / 1014 / 12
+3+2
Limited sample — Draxl L. has 9 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Draxl L. · last 9 on hardNesterov P. · last 10 on hard
910
6/96/10
3/94/10
67%60%
2/92/10
2/92/10
7/98/10
5/96/10
13 / 1014 / 12
+3+2
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 9.2%
Draxl L.
1.30▲
Implied 70%
Edge -5.5%
Nesterov P.
3.10
Implied 30%
Edge +5.5%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Draxl L.
65%
Nesterov P.
35%
medium confidenceData 82%hard0 H2H used
◀ Draxl L.Why the model leansNesterov P. ▶
Ranking
+0.23
Surface
0.00
Form
0.00
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Draxl L. Form
Draxl L.
10 Nov2026
Draxl L.ATP #165 vs Chan D.ATP #465
2-0W
04 Nov2026
Draxl L.ATP #165 vs Kasnikowski M.ATP #207
0-2L
01 Nov2026
Dietrich D.ATP #187 vs Draxl L.ATP #165
2-1L
01 Nov2026
Draxl L.ATP #165 vs Dominko S.ATP #451
2-1W
31 Oct2026
Draxl L.ATP #165 vs Blanch Dar.
2-1W
30 Oct2026
Draxl L.ATP #165 vs Ostapenkov D.ATP #508
0-0D
27 Oct2026
Draxl L.ATP #165 vs Berkieta T.ATP #644
2-0W
17 Oct2026
Landaluce M.ATP #71 vs Draxl L.ATP #165
2-0L
16 Oct2026
Machac T.ATP #60 vs Draxl L.ATP #165
1-2W
15 Oct2026
Ivashka I.ATP #223 vs Draxl L.ATP #165
1-2W
Nesterov P. Form
Nesterov P.
10 Nov2026
Nesterov P.ATP #282 vs Legout T.ATP #341
2-1W
03 Nov2026
Mayo A.ATP #235 vs Nesterov P.ATP #282
2-0L
11 Oct2026
Nesterov P.ATP #282 vs Langmo C.ATP #528
0-2L
08 Oct2026
Llamas Ruiz P.ATP #142 vs Nesterov P.ATP #282
2-1L
06 Oct2026
Hernandez C.ATP #752 vs Nesterov P.ATP #282
0-2W
05 Oct2026
Barton H.ATP #277 vs Nesterov P.ATP #282
1-2W
04 Oct2026
Chen C.ATP #1604 vs Nesterov P.ATP #282
1-2W
29 Sept2026
Marques G.ATP #579 vs Nesterov P.ATP #282
2-1L
28 Sept2026
Nesterov P.ATP #282 vs Topo M.ATP #350
2-0W
27 Sept2026
Nesterov P.ATP #282 vs Tabacco G.ATP #617
2-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.

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