Tennis · Knoxville · USA · hard
Draxl L. vs Chan D.
Tuesday, 10 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Draxl L. a 72% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 165 against No. 465 and 6 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 4. Bookmakers give Draxl L. about 74% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view.
Key facts
- Chan D. has lost 3 matches in a row.
USA•Challenger•Knoxville•hard
Tuesday, 10 November 2026 at 01:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Draxl L.Chan D.
72%
28%
Draxl L. · all surfaces (latest first)
L5d
L8d
W8d
W9d
D10d
W13d
L23d
W24d
W25d
W26d
2 straight losses · carried over from Charlottesville, Sioux Falls — first match of this tournament
On hard6–3 · 67%· won 1+ set 7/9
L5d
L8d
W8d
W9d
D10d
W13d
L23d
W24d
W25d
W26d
2 straight losses · carried over from Charlottesville, Sioux Falls — first match of this tournament
Chan D. · all surfaces (latest first)
L7d
L14d
L21d
W22d
L41d
W42d
W43d
L82d
L97d
W100d
3 straight losses · carried over from Charlottesville, Sioux Falls — first match of this tournament
On hard4–6 · 40%· won 1+ set 6/10
L7d
L14d
L21d
W22d
L41d
W42d
W43d
L82d
L97d
W100d
3 straight losses · carried over from Charlottesville, Sioux Falls — first match of this tournament
Recent form
Draxl L. · all surfacesChan D. · all surfaces
910
6/94/10
3/96/10
67%40%
2/91/10
2/94/10
7/96/10
5/95/10
13 / 1010 / 15
+3-5
Limited sample — Draxl L. has 9 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Draxl L. · last 9 on hardChan D. · last 10 on hard
910
6/94/10
3/96/10
67%40%
2/91/10
2/94/10
7/96/10
5/95/10
13 / 1010 / 15
+3-5
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 8.6%
Draxl L.
1.25
Implied 74%
Edge -1.7%
Chan D.
3.50▼
Implied 26%
Edge +1.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Draxl L.
72%
Chan D.
28%
high confidenceData 95%hard0 H2H used
◀ Draxl L.Why the model leansChan D. ▶
Ranking
+0.44
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.18
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Draxl L. Form
Draxl L.
Chan D. Form
Chan D.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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