Dougaz A. vs Fomin S.

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Dougaz A. a 52% chance on hard courts. Fomin S. is the higher-ranked player (No. 308 against No. 629), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Dougaz A. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Dougaz A. has won 8 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
• Fomin S. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
• Dougaz A. has won 3 matches in a row.
• Fomin S. has won 3 matches in a row.
• Recent form favours Dougaz A.: 8 wins from the last 10 matches, against 4 for Fomin S.