Diaz Acosta F. vs Basilashvili N.

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Basilashvili N. a 67% chance on hard courts. That rests on 8 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 4. Diaz Acosta F. is the higher-ranked player (No. 71 against No. 128), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Basilashvili N. won 2-0 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Basilashvili N. has won 3 matches in a row.