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Tennis · Beijing · China · hard

De Minaur A. vs Hurkacz H.

Monday, 05 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED / RETIRED - HURKACZ H..
Final score · sets
De Minaur A.1-0Hurkacz H.
Set 1
6-4
Set 2
3-2

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave De Minaur A. a 57% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 10 against No. 41 and a 3-1 head-to-head lead. De Minaur A. won 1-0 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • De Minaur A. has won 6 matches in a row.
  • De Minaur A. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
  • Hurkacz H. has won 8 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
  • Hurkacz H. has won 3 matches in a row.
  • They last met on 9 Jan 2026, when De Minaur A. won 2-1.
China•ATP•Beijing•hard
De Minaur A.
Age 27 · Rank #10
VS
Age 29 · Rank #41
Hurkacz H.
Monday, 05 October 2026 at 12:30
Played. Source reports: FINISHED / RETIRED - HURKACZ H..
Final score · sets
De Minaur A.1-0Hurkacz H.
Set 1
6-4
Set 2
3-2
Model win probability
De Minaur A.Hurkacz H.
57%
43%
Head-to-head
3/41/4
11
4 meetings · 2 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
De Minaur A.
57%
Hurkacz H.
43%
low confidenceData 70%hard3 H2H used
◀ De Minaur A.Why the model leansHurkacz H. ▶
Ranking
+0.59
Surface
-0.15
Form
-0.06
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
De Minaur A. Form
de Minaur A.
04 Oct2026
de Minaur A.ATP #10 vs Rublev A.ATP #24
2-1W
03 Oct2026
de Minaur A.ATP #10 vs Halys Q.ATP #50
2-1W
01 Oct2026
de Minaur A.ATP #10 vs Navone M.ATP #45
2-0W
26 Sept2026
Zverev A.ATP #2 vs de Minaur A.ATP #10
1-2W
20 Sept2026
de Minaur A.ATP #10 vs Majchrzak K.ATP #71
2-0W
19 Sept2026
de Minaur A.ATP #10 vs Kasnikowski M.ATP #234
2-0W
04 Sept2026
Van de Zandschulp B.ATP #40 vs de Minaur A.ATP #10
3-0L
02 Sept2026
Guerrieri A.ATP #164 vs de Minaur A.ATP #10
0-3W
19 Aug2026
Fils A.ATP #9 vs de Minaur A.ATP #10
2-0L
17 Aug2026
Fery A.ATP #36 vs de Minaur A.ATP #10
0-2W
Hurkacz H. Form
Hurkacz H.
04 Oct2026
Hurkacz H.ATP #41 vs Khachanov K.ATP #26
2-0W
02 Oct2026
Hurkacz H.ATP #41 vs Gea A.ATP #58
2-1W
01 Oct2026
Tien L.ATP #15 vs Hurkacz H.ATP #41
1-2W
29 Sept2026
Hurkacz H.ATP #41 vs Davidovich Fokina A.ATP #28
0-2L
28 Sept2026
Hurkacz H.ATP #41 vs Shapovalov D.ATP #46
2-1W
27 Sept2026
Harris L.ATP #125 vs Hurkacz H.ATP #41
0-2W
26 Sept2026
Damm M.ATP #103 vs Hurkacz H.ATP #41
1-2W
24 Sept2026
Shevchenko A.ATP #109 vs Hurkacz H.ATP #41
0-2W
02 Sept2026
Shelton B.ATP #4 vs Hurkacz H.ATP #41
3-1L
31 Aug2026
Dzumhur D.ATP #102 vs Hurkacz H.ATP #41
1-3W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
09 Jan2026
de Minaur A.ATP #10 vs Hurkacz H.ATP #41
2-1
10 Mar2025
Hurkacz H.ATP #41 vs de Minaur A.ATP #10
0-2
07 May2019
de Minaur A.ATP #10 vs Hurkacz H.ATP #41
0-2
23 Jul2018
de Minaur A.ATP #10 vs Hurkacz H.ATP #41
2-1

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