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Tennis · Winston Salem · USA · hard

Choinski J. vs Rottgering M.

Tuesday, 25 August 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Choinski J.1-2Rottgering M.
Set 1
5-7
Set 2
6-2
Set 3
4-6

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Rottgering M. a 56% chance on hard courts. That rests on 7 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 5. Choinski J. is the higher-ranked player (No. 77 against No. 418), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Rottgering M. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.

USA•ATP•Winston Salem•hard
Choinski J.
Age 30 · Rank #77
VS
Age 19 · Rank #418
Rottgering M.
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 at 00:05
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Choinski J.1-2Rottgering M.
Set 1
5-7
Set 2
6-2
Set 3
4-6
Model win probability
Choinski J.Rottgering M.
44%
56%
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Model Prediction
Choinski J.
44%
Rottgering M.
56%
low confidenceData 70%hard0 H2H used
◀ Choinski J.Why the model leansRottgering M. ▶
Ranking
+0.39
Surface
-0.30
Form
-0.18
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Choinski J. Form
Choinski J.
20 Aug2026
Choinski J.ATP #77 vs Daniel T.ATP #186
0-2L
13 Aug2026
Tirante T. A.ATP #50 vs Choinski J.ATP #77
2-1L
02 Aug2026
Choinski J.ATP #77 vs Mackenzie J.ATP #581
2-0W
01 Aug2026
Choinski J.ATP #77 vs Gomez F. A.ATP #181
2-0W
31 Jul2026
Choinski J.ATP #77 vs Wallin O.ATP #415
2-0W
29 Jul2026
Choinski J.ATP #77 vs Barrena A.ATP #259
2-0W
27 Jul2026
Choinski J.ATP #77 vs Passaro F.ATP #222
2-0W
14 Jul2026
Choinski J.ATP #77 vs Basilashvili N.ATP #132
0-2L
12 Jul2026
Choinski J.ATP #77 vs Gaston H.ATP #97
2-1W
11 Jul2026
Rincon D.ATP #206 vs Choinski J.ATP #77
0-2W
Rottgering M. Form
Rottgering M.
23 Aug2026
Grenier H.ATP #258 vs Rottgering M.ATP #418
0-2W
22 Aug2026
Heck H.ATP #730 vs Rottgering M.ATP #418
0-2W
14 Aug2026
Harris L.ATP #175 vs Rottgering M.ATP #418
2-0L
12 Aug2026
Searle H.ATP #220 vs Rottgering M.ATP #418
0-2W
11 Aug2026
Johns G.ATP #390 vs Rottgering M.ATP #418
0-2W
09 Aug2026
Kittay B. vs Rottgering M.ATP #418
0-2W
03 Aug2026
Shelbayh A.ATP #253 vs Rottgering M.ATP #418
2-0L
02 Aug2026
Nakashima B.ATP #881 vs Rottgering M.ATP #418
0-2W
22 Jul2026
Hsu Y. H.ATP #245 vs Rottgering M.ATP #418
2-0L
21 Jul2026
Sun F.ATP #324 vs Rottgering M.ATP #418
0-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.

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