Tennis · Hersonissos 3 · Greece · hard
Caniato C. A. vs Bailly G. A.
Tuesday, 10 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Caniato C. A. a 59% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 323 against No. 541. Bookmakers give Caniato C. A. about 65% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market.
Key facts
- Bailly G. A. has won 5 matches in a row.
- They last met on 2 Nov 2025, when Caniato C. A. won 2-0.
Greece•Challenger•Hersonissos 3•hard
Tuesday, 10 November 2026 at 15:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Caniato C. A.Bailly G. A.
59%
41%
Caniato C. A. · all surfaces (latest first)
L3d
W4d
W5d
W7d
L20d
W22d
L26d
W28d
L33d
W35d
On hard4–6 · 40%· won 1+ set 5/10
L3d
W4d
W5d
W7d
L253d
L265d
L272d
L281d
L350d
W373d
Bailly G. A. · all surfaces (latest first)
W2d
W3d
W4d
W5d
W7d
L13d
L24d
L64d
L68d
W70d
5-match win streak · carried over from M25 Heraklion 3 — first match of this tournament
Fresh off a deep run at M25 Heraklion 3 with little time to recover — sharpness may be down early here.
On hard5–5 · 50%· won 1+ set 7/10
W2d
W3d
W4d
W5d
W7d
L13d
L24d
L77d
L245d
L251d
5-match win streak · carried over from M25 Heraklion 3 — first match of this tournament
Fresh off a deep run at M25 Heraklion 3 with little time to recover — sharpness may be down early here.
Recent form
Caniato C. A. · all surfacesBailly G. A. · all surfaces
109
6/106/9
4/103/9
60%67%
5/103/9
1/103/9
9/106/9
4/103/9
15 / 912 / 9
+6+3
Limited sample — Bailly G. A. has 9 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Caniato C. A. · last 10 on hardBailly G. A. · last 10 on hard
1010
4/105/10
6/105/10
40%50%
3/102/10
5/103/10
5/107/10
2/105/10
9 / 1312 / 13
-4-1
Head-to-head
1/10/1
10
1 meeting · 0 went to a deciding set
Market Odds
Vig 8.9%
Caniato C. A.
1.42▲
Implied 65%
Edge -5.7%
Bailly G. A.
2.60▼
Implied 35%
Edge +5.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Caniato C. A.
59%
Bailly G. A.
41%
low confidenceData 85%hard1 H2H used
◀ Caniato C. A.Why the model leansBailly G. A. ▶
Ranking
+0.22
Surface
-0.05
Form
-0.06
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Caniato C. A. Form
Caniato C. A.
Bailly G. A. Form
Bailly G. A.
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