Tennis · Helsinki · Finland · hard
Cadenasso G. vs Fearnley J.
Tuesday, 17 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Fearnley J. a 79% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 87 against No. 214. Bookmakers give Fearnley J. about 84% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market.
Finland•Challenger•Helsinki•hard
Tuesday, 17 November 2026 at 12:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Cadenasso G.Fearnley J.
21%
79%
Cadenasso G. · all surfaces (latest first)
L5d
L10d
W12d
L26d
W28d
W29d
W30d
W31d
W33d
L39d
2 straight losses · carried over from Monastir, Taranto — first match of this tournament
On hard5–5 · 50%· won 1+ set 5/10
L5d
L10d
W12d
L633d
W634d
L640d
W641d
L660d
W661d
W662d
2 straight losses · carried over from Monastir, Taranto — first match of this tournament
Fearnley J. · all surfaces (latest first)
L7d
W8d
D20d
W21d
W22d
L25d
W26d
L28d
W29d
W30d
On hard6–3 · 67%· won 1+ set 6/9
L7d
W8d
D20d
W21d
W22d
L25d
W26d
L28d
W29d
W30d
Recent form
Cadenasso G. · all surfacesFearnley J. · all surfaces
109
6/106/9
4/103/9
60%67%
3/104/9
4/103/9
6/106/9
3/102/9
12 / 1112 / 8
+1+4
Limited sample — Fearnley J. has 9 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Cadenasso G. · last 10 on hardFearnley J. · last 9 on hard
109
5/106/9
5/103/9
50%67%
2/104/9
5/103/9
5/106/9
3/102/9
10 / 1312 / 8
-3+4
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 7.9%
Cadenasso G.
5.90▲
Implied 16%
Edge +5.3%
Fearnley J.
1.10
Implied 84%
Edge -5.3%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Cadenasso G.
21%
Fearnley J.
79%
medium confidenceData 84%hard0 H2H used
◀ Cadenasso G.Why the model leansFearnley J. ▶
Ranking
-0.38
Surface
-0.15
Form
-0.25
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Cadenasso G. Form
Cadenasso G.
Fearnley J. Form
Fearnley J.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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