Tennis · Guayaquil · Ecuador · clay
Bueno G. vs Zarate C. M.
Thursday, 29 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Bueno G. a 66% chance on clay. That rests on a ranking of No. 197 against No. 340 and 5 wins from the last 9 matches on clay to 3. Bookmakers give Bueno G. about 65% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view.
Ecuador•Challenger•Guayaquil•clay
Thursday, 29 October 2026 at 20:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Bueno G.Zarate C. M.
66%
34%
Bueno G. · all surfaces (latest first)
W1d
L7d
W9d
L16d
W51d
L57d
W59d
L66d
L70d
On clay5–4 · 56%· won 1+ set 6/9
W1d
L7d
W9d
L16d
W51d
L57d
W59d
L88d
W89d
Zarate C. M. · all surfaces (latest first)
W1d
L6d
D7d
W8d
L14d
W15d
L30d
L37d
W54d
W55d
On clay4–5 · 44%· won 1+ set 5/9
W1d
L6d
D7d
W8d
L14d
W15d
L30d
L37d
L60d
W61d
Recent form
Bueno G. · all surfacesZarate C. M. · all surfaces
99
4/95/9
5/94/9
44%56%
2/94/9
4/93/9
5/96/9
3/92/9
9 / 1211 / 9
-3+2
Limited sample — Bueno G. has 9 matches on record.
Limited sample — Zarate C. M. has 9 matches on record.
On clay (this match's surface)
Bueno G. · last 9 on clayZarate C. M. · last 9 on clay
99
5/94/9
4/95/9
56%44%
3/92/9
3/94/9
6/95/9
3/93/9
11 / 109 / 12
+1-3
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 9.2%
Bueno G.
1.40▼
Implied 65%
Edge +0.6%
Zarate C. M.
2.65▲
Implied 35%
Edge -0.6%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Bueno G.
66%
Zarate C. M.
34%
high confidenceData 90%clay0 H2H used
◀ Bueno G.Why the model leansZarate C. M. ▶
Ranking
+0.23
Surface
+0.30
Form
+0.13
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Bueno G. Form
Bueno G.
Zarate C. M. Form
Zarate C. M.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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