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Tennis · Us Open · USA · hard

Bublik A. vs Paul T.

Friday, 04 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Bublik A.2-3Paul T.
Set 1
4-6
Set 2
6-3
Set 3
7-6
Set 4
1-6
Set 5
3-6

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Paul T. a 57% chance on hard courts. That rests on a 5-2 head-to-head lead. Paul T. won 3-2 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • They last met on 31 Aug 2025, when Bublik A. won 3-2.
USA•ATP•Us Open•hard
Bublik A.
Age 29 · Rank #16
VS
Age 29 · Rank #21
Paul T.
Friday, 04 September 2026 at 20:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Bublik A.2-3Paul T.
Set 1
4-6
Set 2
6-3
Set 3
7-6
Set 4
1-6
Set 5
3-6
Model win probability
Bublik A.Paul T.
43%
57%
Head-to-head
2/75/7
12
7 meetings · 5 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Bublik A.
43%
Paul T.
57%
high confidenceData 98%hard4 H2H used
◀ Bublik A.Why the model leansPaul T. ▶
Ranking
+0.11
Surface
-0.15
Form
0.00
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Bublik A. Form
Bublik A.
03 Sept2026
Bublik A.ATP #16 vs Mannarino A.ATP #67
3-0W
31 Aug2026
Bublik A.ATP #16 vs Wolf J.j.ATP #253
3-1W
25 Jul2026
Bublik A.ATP #16 vs Halys Q.ATP #52
0-2L
24 Jul2026
Bublik A.ATP #16 vs Etcheverry T. M.ATP #32
2-0W
23 Jul2026
Bublik A.ATP #16 vs Molcan A.ATP #86
2-0W
22 Jul2026
Bublik A.ATP #16 vs Diaz Acosta F.ATP #82
2-0W
17 Jul2026
Bublik A.ATP #16 vs Halys Q.ATP #52
1-2L
06 Jul2026
Fritz T.ATP #10 vs Bublik A.ATP #16
3-0L
04 Jul2026
Tiafoe F.ATP #12 vs Bublik A.ATP #16
2-3W
02 Jul2026
Jacquet K.ATP #108 vs Bublik A.ATP #16
0-3W
Paul T. Form
Paul T.
03 Sept2026
Prizmic D.ATP #102 vs Paul T.ATP #21
1-3W
30 Aug2026
Wong C.ATP #94 vs Paul T.ATP #21
1-3W
20 Aug2026
Paul T.ATP #21 vs Cobolli F.ATP #6
1-2L
19 Aug2026
Zverev A.ATP #2 vs Paul T.ATP #21
1-2W
18 Aug2026
Paul T.ATP #21 vs Vallejo D.
2-1W
16 Aug2026
Paul T.ATP #21 vs Hurkacz H.ATP #47
2-1W
08 Aug2026
Tien L.ATP #15 vs Paul T.ATP #21
2-0L
06 Aug2026
Royer V.ATP #75 vs Paul T.ATP #21
0-2W
28 Jul2026
Majchrzak K.ATP #73 vs Paul T.ATP #21
2-0L
03 Jul2026
Hurkacz H.ATP #47 vs Paul T.ATP #21
3-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
31 Aug2025
Bublik A.ATP #16 vs Paul T.ATP #21
3-2
22 Mar2025
Bublik A.ATP #16 vs Paul T.ATP #21
1-2
05 Jul2024
Paul T.ATP #21 vs Bublik A.ATP #16
3-0
04 Mar2021
Bublik A.ATP #16 vs Paul T.ATP #21
1-2
20 Sept2020
Bublik A.ATP #16 vs Paul T.ATP #21
0-2
16 Jun2019
Bublik A.ATP #16 vs Paul T.ATP #21
2-0
01 Jan2019
Paul T.ATP #21 vs Bublik A.ATP #16
2-1

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