Tennis · Orleans · France · hard
Bonzi B. vs Pellegrino A.
Monday, 09 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Bonzi B. a 81% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 91 against No. 141 and 5 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 1. Bookmakers give Bonzi B. about 86% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market.
Key facts
- Pellegrino A. has gone 5 matches without a win.
- They last met on 13 May 2022, when Pellegrino A. won 2-1.
France•Challenger•Orleans•hard
Monday, 09 November 2026 at 22:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Bonzi B.Pellegrino A.
81%
19%
Bonzi B. · all surfaces (latest first)
L6d
W8d
W9d
L19d
W20d
L26d
W28d
L42d
L65d
W66d
On hard5–5 · 50%· won 1+ set 8/10
L6d
W8d
W9d
L19d
W20d
L26d
W28d
L42d
L65d
W66d
Pellegrino A. · all surfaces (latest first)
L17d
D20d
L27d
L33d
L60d
W62d
L75d
L80d
W83d
On hard1–9 · 10%· won 1+ set 4/10
L75d
L80d
W83d
L301d
L356d
L373d
L448d
L451d
L624d
L733d
2 straight losses · carried over from US Open, Quebec City — first match of this tournament
Recent form
Bonzi B. · all surfacesPellegrino A. · all surfaces
108
5/102/8
5/106/8
50%25%
1/101/8
2/103/8
8/105/8
9/104/8
14 / 157 / 13
-1-6
Limited sample — Pellegrino A. has 8 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Bonzi B. · last 10 on hardPellegrino A. · last 10 on hard
1010
5/101/10
5/109/10
50%10%
1/100/10
2/106/10
8/104/10
9/104/10
14 / 155 / 19
-1-14
Head-to-head
0/22/2
01
2 meetings · 1 went to a deciding set
Market Odds
Vig 8.6%
Bonzi B.
1.07▲
Implied 86%
Edge -5.0%
Pellegrino A.
6.60▼
Implied 14%
Edge +5.0%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Bonzi B.
81%
Pellegrino A.
19%
high confidenceData 93%hard0 H2H used
◀ Bonzi B.Why the model leansPellegrino A. ▶
Ranking
+0.18
Surface
+0.23
Form
+0.30
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Bonzi B. Form
Bonzi B.
Pellegrino A. Form
Pellegrino A.
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