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Tennis · Hersonissos 3 · Greece · hard

Bertola R. vs Carboni L.

Tuesday, 10 November 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model gives Bertola R. a 63% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 221 against No. 550. Bookmakers give Bertola R. about 64% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view.

Key facts

  • They last met on 24 Aug 2025, when Carboni L. won 2-1.
Greece•Challenger•Hersonissos 3•hard
Bertola R.
Bertola R.
Age 28 · Rank #221
VS
Carboni L.
Age 20 · Rank #550
Carboni L.
Tuesday, 10 November 2026 at 14:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Bertola R.Carboni L.
63%
37%
Bertola R. · all surfaces (latest first)
L5d
W6d
L13d
W16d
W17d
L20d
L23d
W24d
L27d
L41d
On hard4–6 · 40%· won 1+ set 8/10
L5d
W6d
L13d
W16d
W17d
L20d
L23d
W24d
L27d
L41d
Carboni L. · all surfaces (latest first)
W1d
W2d
L19d
W20d
W21d
L27d
D29d
L34d
L39d
W40d
2-match win streak · all at Hersonissos 3 — built in this tournament
On hard4–4 · 50%· won 1+ set 5/8
W1d
W2d
L27d
D29d
L245d
D252d
W253d
W254d
L260d
L268d
2-match win streak · all at Hersonissos 3 — built in this tournament
Recent form
Bertola R. · all surfacesCarboni L. · all surfaces
109
4/105/9
6/104/9
40%56%
3/104/9
2/104/9
8/105/9
5/101/9
12 / 1310 / 9
-1+1
Limited sample — Carboni L. has 9 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Bertola R. · last 10 on hardCarboni L. · last 8 on hard
108
4/104/8
6/104/8
40%50%
3/103/8
2/103/8
8/105/8
5/102/8
12 / 139 / 9
-1+0
Head-to-head
0/11/1
00
1 meeting · 1 went to a deciding set
Market Odds
Vig 9.6%
Bertola R.
1.42
Implied 64%
Edge -1.2%
Carboni L.
2.55
Implied 36%
Edge +1.2%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Bertola R.
63%
Carboni L.
37%
high confidenceData 90%hard0 H2H used
◀ Bertola R.Why the model leansCarboni L. ▶
Ranking
+0.38
Surface
+0.07
Form
+0.06
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Bertola R. Form
Bertola R.
05 Nov2026
Feldbausch K.ATP #238 vs Bertola R.ATP #221
2-1L
04 Nov2026
Rossi L.ATP #527 vs Bertola R.ATP #221
0-2W
28 Oct2026
Bertola R.ATP #221 vs Shapovalov D.ATP #50
0-2L
25 Oct2026
Brunold M.ATP #179 vs Bertola R.ATP #221
0-2W
24 Oct2026
Bertola R.ATP #221 vs Paul J.ATP #1001
2-0W
21 Oct2026
Goffin D.ATP #686 vs Bertola R.ATP #221
2-1L
18 Oct2026
Bertola R.ATP #221 vs Cina F.ATP #139
1-2L
17 Oct2026
Mpetshi Perricard G.ATP #140 vs Bertola R.ATP #221
1-2W
14 Oct2026
Bertola R.ATP #221 vs Virtanen O.ATP #127
0-2L
30 Sept2026
Poullain L.ATP #316 vs Bertola R.ATP #221
2-1L
Carboni L. Form
Carboni L.
09 Nov2026
Reco A.ATP #815 vs Carboni L.ATP #550
0-2W
08 Nov2026
Raquillet L.ATP #702 vs Carboni L.ATP #550
1-2W
22 Oct2026
Carboni L.ATP #550 vs Angelini L.ATP #534
0-2L
21 Oct2026
Compagnucci T.ATP #373 vs Carboni L.ATP #550
0-2W
20 Oct2026
Carboni L.ATP #550 vs Chang A.ATP #1045
2-0W
14 Oct2026
Nardi L.ATP #263 vs Carboni L.ATP #550
2-0L
12 Oct2026
Carboni L.ATP #550 vs Mcdonald M.ATP #262
1-1D
07 Oct2026
Iannaccone F.ATP #574 vs Carboni L.ATP #550
2-0L
02 Oct2026
Carboni L.ATP #550 vs Jong S.ATP #394
0-2L
01 Oct2026
Carboni L.ATP #550 vs Barranco Cosano J.ATP #616
2-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
24 Aug2025
Carboni L.ATP #550 vs Bertola R.ATP #221
2-1

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