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Tennis · Shanghai · China · hard

Berrettini M. vs Nakashima B.

Friday, 09 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Berrettini M.0-2Nakashima B.
Set 1
6-7
Set 2
5-7

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Nakashima B. a 59% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 18 against No. 46. Nakashima B. won 2-0 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • They last met on 17 Jan 2022, when Berrettini M. won 3-1.
China•ATP•Shanghai•hard
Berrettini M.
Age 30 · Rank #46
VS
Age 25 · Rank #18
Nakashima B.
Friday, 09 October 2026 at 08:50
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Berrettini M.0-2Nakashima B.
Set 1
6-7
Set 2
5-7
Model win probability
Berrettini M.Nakashima B.
41%
59%
Head-to-head
1/10/1
00
1 meeting · 1 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Berrettini M.
41%
Nakashima B.
59%
medium confidenceData 70%hard1 H2H used
◀ Berrettini M.Why the model leansNakashima B. ▶
Ranking
-0.39
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.12
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Berrettini M. Form
Berrettini M.
07 Oct2026
Kovacevic A.ATP #81 vs Berrettini M.ATP #46
1-2W
03 Oct2026
Berrettini M.ATP #46 vs Vallejo D.
0-2L
01 Oct2026
Davidovich Fokina A.ATP #26 vs Berrettini M.ATP #46
1-2W
03 Sept2026
Berrettini M.ATP #46 vs Navone M.ATP #47
1-3L
31 Aug2026
Berrettini M.ATP #46 vs Wawrinka S.ATP #142
3-0W
16 Aug2026
Lehecka J.ATP #19 vs Berrettini M.ATP #46
2-1L
14 Aug2026
Droguet T.ATP #72 vs Berrettini M.ATP #46
1-2W
03 Aug2026
Berrettini M.ATP #46 vs Navone M.ATP #47
1-2L
04 Jul2026
Dimitrov G.ATP #127 vs Berrettini M.ATP #46
3-2L
02 Jul2026
Berrettini M.ATP #46 vs Fils A.ATP #10
3-1W
Nakashima B. Form
Nakashima B.
01 Oct2026
Nakashima B.ATP #18 vs Humbert U.ATP #32
0-2L
25 Sept2026
Mensik J.ATP #15 vs Nakashima B.ATP #18
1-2W
02 Sept2026
Nakashima B.ATP #18 vs Michelsen A.ATP #35
0-3L
31 Aug2026
Nakashima B.ATP #18 vs Baez S.ATP #53
3-0W
23 Aug2026
Nakashima B.ATP #18 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #8
0-2L
21 Aug2026
Fritz T.ATP #12 vs Nakashima B.ATP #18
1-2W
20 Aug2026
Borges N.ATP #51 vs Nakashima B.ATP #18
1-2W
18 Aug2026
Nakashima B.ATP #18 vs Medvedev D.ATP #5
2-1W
16 Aug2026
Nakashima B.ATP #18 vs Kovacevic A.ATP #81
2-0W
14 Aug2026
Shelton B.ATP #4 vs Nakashima B.ATP #18
2-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
17 Jan2022
Nakashima B.ATP #18 vs Berrettini M.ATP #46
1-3

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