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Tennis · Paris · France · hard

Berrettini M. vs Alcaraz C.

Thursday, 05 November 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model gives Alcaraz C. a 87% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 3 against No. 43, 9 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 5 and a 3-1 head-to-head lead.

Key facts

  • Alcaraz C. has won 6 matches in a row.
  • Recent form favours Alcaraz C.: 9 wins from the last 10 matches, against 5 for Berrettini M.
  • They last met on 10 Jul 2023, when Alcaraz C. won 3-1.
France•ATP•Paris•hard
Berrettini M.
Berrettini M.
Age 30 · Rank #43
VS
Alcaraz C.
Age 23 · Rank #3
Alcaraz C.
Thursday, 05 November 2026 at 21:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Berrettini M.Alcaraz C.
13%
87%
Berrettini M. · all surfaces (latest first)
W1d
W2d
L6d
D7d
W10d
L16d
L27d
W29d
L33d
W35d
2-match win streak · all at Paris — built in this tournament
On hard5–4 · 56%· won 1+ set 5/9
W1d
W2d
L6d
D7d
W10d
L16d
L27d
W29d
L33d
W35d
2-match win streak · all at Paris — built in this tournament
Alcaraz C. · all surfaces (latest first)
W1d
W4d
W5d
W6d
W7d
W9d
L24d
W26d
W30d
W31d
6-match win streak · 1 at Paris · 5 at other events (Vienna)
On hard9–1 · 90%· won 1+ set 9/10
W1d
W4d
W5d
W6d
W7d
W9d
L24d
W26d
W30d
W31d
6-match win streak · 1 at Paris · 5 at other events (Vienna)
Recent form
Berrettini M. · all surfacesAlcaraz C. · all surfaces
910
5/99/10
4/91/10
56%90%
2/98/10
4/91/10
5/99/10
3/91/10
10 / 1118 / 3
-1+15
Limited sample — Berrettini M. has 9 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Berrettini M. · last 9 on hardAlcaraz C. · last 10 on hard
910
5/99/10
4/91/10
56%90%
2/98/10
4/91/10
5/99/10
3/91/10
10 / 1118 / 3
-1+15
Head-to-head
1/43/4
00
4 meetings · 4 went to a deciding set
Market Odds
Bookmaker odds not available for this match.
Model Prediction
Berrettini M.
13%
Alcaraz C.
87%
medium confidenceData 66%hard2 H2H used
◀ Berrettini M.Why the model leansAlcaraz C. ▶
Ranking
-1.12
Surface
0.00
Form
-0.55
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Berrettini M. Form
Berrettini M.
04 Nov2026
Berrettini M.ATP #43 vs Humbert U.ATP #38
2-0W
03 Nov2026
Nakashima B.ATP #18 vs Berrettini M.ATP #43
1-2W
30 Oct2026
Berrettini M.ATP #43 vs de Minaur A.ATP #9
0-2L
29 Oct2026
Cobolli F.ATP #6 vs Berrettini M.ATP #43
0-0D
26 Oct2026
Berrettini M.ATP #43 vs Etcheverry T. M.ATP #31
2-0W
20 Oct2026
Berrettini M.ATP #43 vs Jacquet K.ATP #80
0-2L
09 Oct2026
Berrettini M.ATP #43 vs Nakashima B.ATP #18
0-2L
07 Oct2026
Kovacevic A.ATP #84 vs Berrettini M.ATP #43
1-2W
03 Oct2026
Berrettini M.ATP #43 vs Vallejo D.
0-2L
01 Oct2026
Davidovich Fokina A.ATP #17 vs Berrettini M.ATP #43
1-2W
Alcaraz C. Form
Alcaraz C.
04 Nov2026
Michelsen A.ATP #35 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-2W
01 Nov2026
de Minaur A.ATP #9 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-2W
31 Oct2026
Medvedev D.ATP #5 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-2W
30 Oct2026
Paul T.ATP #14 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-2W
29 Oct2026
Basilashvili N.ATP #87 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-2W
27 Oct2026
Khachanov K.ATP #25 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-2W
12 Oct2026
Bergs Z.ATP #40 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
2-0L
10 Oct2026
Cerundolo J. M.ATP #54 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-2W
06 Oct2026
Alcaraz C.ATP #3 vs Lehecka J.ATP #15
2-0W
05 Oct2026
Alcaraz C.ATP #3 vs Munar J.ATP #65
2-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
10 Jul2023
Alcaraz C.ATP #3 vs Berrettini M.ATP #43
3-1
19 Feb2022
Berrettini M.ATP #43 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
1-2
21 Jan2022
Alcaraz C.ATP #3 vs Berrettini M.ATP #43
2-3
29 Oct2021
Alcaraz C.ATP #3 vs Berrettini M.ATP #43
2-1

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