Tennis · Paris · France · hard
Bellucci M. vs Sonego L.
Monday, 02 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Bellucci M. a 62% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 66 against No. 91 and 8 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 4. Bookmakers give Bellucci M. about 56% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market.
Key facts
- Recent form favours Bellucci M.: 8 wins from the last 10 matches, against 4 for Sonego L.
- They last met on 29 Apr 2026, when Bellucci M. won 2-1.
France•ATP•Paris•hard
Monday, 02 November 2026 at 17:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Bellucci M.Sonego L.
62%
38%
Bellucci M. · all surfaces (latest first)
W1d
W2d
L11d
W12d
W15d
W16d
W17d
W18d
W20d
L26d
2-match win streak · all at Paris — built in this tournament
On hard8–2 · 80%· won 1+ set 10/10
W1d
W2d
L11d
W12d
W15d
W16d
W17d
W18d
W20d
L26d
2-match win streak · all at Paris — built in this tournament
Sonego L. · all surfaces (latest first)
W1d
W2d
L8d
W9d
L14d
L28d
L35d
L38d
W39d
L55d
2-match win streak · all at Paris — built in this tournament
On hard4–6 · 40%· won 1+ set 8/10
W1d
W2d
L8d
W9d
L14d
L28d
L35d
L38d
W39d
L61d
2-match win streak · all at Paris — built in this tournament
Recent form
Bellucci M. · all surfacesSonego L. · all surfaces
1010
8/104/10
2/106/10
80%40%
6/101/10
0/102/10
10/108/10
4/107/10
18 / 612 / 15
+12-3
On hard (this match's surface)
Bellucci M. · last 10 on hardSonego L. · last 10 on hard
1010
8/104/10
2/106/10
80%40%
6/101/10
0/102/10
10/108/10
4/107/10
18 / 613 / 16
+12-3
Head-to-head
1/10/1
00
1 meeting · 1 went to a deciding set
Market Odds
Vig 6.4%
Bellucci M.
1.67▼
Implied 56%
Edge +5.7%
Sonego L.
2.15▲
Implied 44%
Edge -5.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Bellucci M.
62%
Sonego L.
38%
medium confidenceData 82%hard0 H2H used
◀ Bellucci M.Why the model leansSonego L. ▶
Ranking
+0.13
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.42
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Bellucci M. Form
Bellucci M.
Sonego L. Form
Sonego L.
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