Tennis · Champaign · USA · hard
Bakonyi D. vs Nefve A.
Sunday, 15 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Nefve A. a 78% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 959 against No. 2155 and 3 wins from the last 5 matches on hard courts to 1. Bookmakers give Nefve A. about 81% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view.
USA•Challenger•Champaign•hard
Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 22:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Bakonyi D.Nefve A.
22%
78%
Bakonyi D. · all surfaces (latest first)
L81d
L101d
W103d
L116d
L166d
L380d
W383d
L746d
L803d
2 straight losses · 1 at Champaign · 1 at other events (M15 Poprad)
On hard1–4 · 20%· won 1+ set 1/5
L81d
L380d
W383d
L746d
L803d
2 straight losses · 1 at Champaign · 1 at other events (M15 Szabolcsveresmart)
Nefve A. · all surfaces (latest first)
L3d
W5d
D11d
L40d
L46d
L93d
W94d
W95d
D102d
L121d
On hard4–5 · 44%· won 1+ set 6/9
L3d
W5d
L93d
W94d
W95d
D102d
L152d
L231d
L233d
W234d
Recent form
Bakonyi D. · all surfacesNefve A. · all surfaces
98
2/93/8
7/95/8
22%38%
1/91/8
6/93/8
3/95/8
2/94/8
5 / 158 / 12
-10-4
Limited sample — Bakonyi D. has 9 matches on record.
Limited sample — Nefve A. has 8 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Bakonyi D. · last 5 on hardNefve A. · last 9 on hard
59
1/54/9
4/55/9
20%44%
0/52/9
4/53/9
1/56/9
1/54/9
2 / 910 / 12
-7-2
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 9.3%
Bakonyi D.
4.80▲
Implied 19%
Edge +2.9%
Nefve A.
1.13▼
Implied 81%
Edge -2.9%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Bakonyi D.
22%
Nefve A.
78%
high confidenceData 70%hard0 H2H used
◀ Bakonyi D.Why the model leansNefve A. ▶
Ranking
-0.31
Surface
-0.11
Form
-0.41
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Bakonyi D. Form
Bakonyi D.
Nefve A. Form
Nefve A.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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