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Tennis · Cancun 2 · Mexico · hard

Baez S. vs Hurkacz H.

Monday, 24 August 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Baez S.1-2Hurkacz H.
Set 1
6-4
Set 2
0-6
Set 3
3-6

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Hurkacz H. a 59% chance on hard courts. That rests on a 2-0 head-to-head lead. Baez S. is the higher-ranked player (No. 53 against No. 69), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Hurkacz H. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • Baez S. has won 3 matches in a row.
  • Hurkacz H. has won 3 matches in a row.
  • They last met on 24 Jun 2026, when Hurkacz H. won 2-0.
Mexico•Challenger•Cancun 2•hard
Baez S.
Age 25 · Rank #53
VS
Age 29 · Rank #69
Hurkacz H.
Monday, 24 August 2026 at 03:20
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Baez S.1-2Hurkacz H.
Set 1
6-4
Set 2
0-6
Set 3
3-6
Model win probability
Baez S.Hurkacz H.
41%
59%
Head-to-head
0/22/2
01
2 meetings · 1 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Baez S.
41%
Hurkacz H.
59%
low confidenceData 47%hard0 H2H used
◀ Baez S.Why the model leansHurkacz H. ▶
Ranking
+0.11
Surface
+0.12
Form
0.00
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Baez S. Form
Baez S.
23 Aug2026
Baez S.ATP #53 vs Harris L.ATP #175
2-0W
22 Aug2026
Baez S.ATP #53 vs Wong C.ATP #93
2-0W
21 Aug2026
Baez S.ATP #53 vs Pacheco Mendez R.ATP #292
2-0W
16 Aug2026
Tien L.ATP #12 vs Baez S.ATP #53
2-0L
14 Aug2026
Baez S.ATP #53 vs Dimitrov G.ATP #138
2-1W
05 Aug2026
Bergs Z.ATP #33 vs Baez S.ATP #53
2-1L
04 Aug2026
Baez S.ATP #53 vs Bellucci M.ATP #81
2-0W
23 Jul2026
Hanfmann Y.ATP #55 vs Baez S.ATP #53
2-0L
22 Jul2026
Baez S.ATP #53 vs Rinderknech A.ATP #28
2-1W
21 Jul2026
Baez S.ATP #53 vs Kecmanovic M.ATP #66
2-1W
Hurkacz H. Form
Hurkacz H.
23 Aug2026
Hurkacz H.ATP #69 vs Echargui M.ATP #197
2-0W
22 Aug2026
Safiullin R.ATP #103 vs Hurkacz H.ATP #69
0-2W
21 Aug2026
Rocha H.ATP #126 vs Hurkacz H.ATP #69
1-2W
16 Aug2026
Paul T.ATP #24 vs Hurkacz H.ATP #69
2-1L
14 Aug2026
Shimabukuro S.ATP #90 vs Hurkacz H.ATP #69
0-2W
07 Aug2026
Van de Zandschulp B.ATP #59 vs Hurkacz H.ATP #69
2-1L
05 Aug2026
Hurkacz H.ATP #69 vs Tabilo A.ATP #29
2-0W
04 Aug2026
Hurkacz H.ATP #69 vs Giron M.ATP #83
2-1W
05 Jul2026
Hurkacz H.ATP #69 vs Struff J-l.ATP #43
2-2D
03 Jul2026
Hurkacz H.ATP #69 vs Paul T.ATP #24
3-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
24 Jun2026
Hurkacz H.ATP #69 vs Baez S.ATP #53
2-0
14 May2024
Hurkacz H.ATP #69 vs Baez S.ATP #53
2-1

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