Tennis · Cancun 2 · Mexico · hard
Baez S. vs Hurkacz H.
Monday, 24 August 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score · sets
Baez S.1-2Hurkacz H.
- Set 1
- 6-4
- Set 2
- 0-6
- Set 3
- 3-6
Prediction and result
Before the match, the model gave Hurkacz H. a 59% chance on hard courts. That rests on a 2-0 head-to-head lead. Baez S. is the higher-ranked player (No. 53 against No. 69), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Hurkacz H. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.
Key facts before the match
- Baez S. has won 3 matches in a row.
- Hurkacz H. has won 3 matches in a row.
- They last met on 24 Jun 2026, when Hurkacz H. won 2-0.
Mexico•Challenger•Cancun 2•hard
Monday, 24 August 2026 at 03:20
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Baez S.1-2Hurkacz H.
- Set 1
- 6-4
- Set 2
- 0-6
- Set 3
- 3-6
Model win probability
Baez S.Hurkacz H.
41%
59%
Head-to-head
0/22/2
01
2 meetings · 1 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Baez S.
41%
Hurkacz H.
59%
low confidenceData 47%hard0 H2H used
◀ Baez S.Why the model leansHurkacz H. ▶
Ranking
+0.11
Surface
+0.12
Form
0.00
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Baez S. Form
Baez S.
Hurkacz H. Form
Hurkacz H.
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