Tennis · Guangzhou · China · hard
Badosa P. vs Dart H.
Friday, 30 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Badosa P. a 63% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 61 against No. 115. Bookmakers give Badosa P. about 71% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market.
Key facts
- Dart H. has won 4 matches in a row.
- Dart H. has won 8 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
- They last met on 1 Jan 2023, when Badosa P. won 2-1.
China•WTA•Guangzhou•hard
Friday, 30 October 2026 at 08:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Badosa P.Dart H.
63%
37%
Badosa P. · all surfaces (latest first)
W1d
W3d
L9d
L26d
W28d
L40d
W41d
W42d
W42d
L55d
2-match win streak · all at Guangzhou — built in this tournament
On hard6–4 · 60%· won 1+ set 7/10
W1d
W3d
L9d
L26d
W28d
L40d
W41d
W42d
W42d
L55d
2-match win streak · all at Guangzhou — built in this tournament
Dart H. · all surfaces (latest first)
W1d
W3d
W4d
W5d
L10d
W11d
W12d
L26d
W28d
W30d
4-match win streak · all at Guangzhou — built in this tournament
On hard8–2 · 80%· won 1+ set 9/10
W1d
W3d
W4d
W5d
L10d
W11d
W12d
L26d
W28d
W30d
4-match win streak · all at Guangzhou — built in this tournament
Recent form
Badosa P. · all surfacesDart H. · all surfaces
1010
6/108/10
4/102/10
60%80%
4/103/10
3/101/10
7/109/10
3/106/10
13 / 1017 / 9
+3+8
On hard (this match's surface)
Badosa P. · last 10 on hardDart H. · last 10 on hard
1010
6/108/10
4/102/10
60%80%
4/103/10
3/101/10
7/109/10
3/106/10
13 / 1017 / 9
+3+8
Head-to-head
1/21/2
01
2 meetings · 1 went to a deciding set
Market Odds
Vig 7.0%
Badosa P.
1.32
Implied 71%
Edge -7.8%
Dart H.
3.20▲
Implied 29%
Edge +7.8%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Badosa P.
63%
Dart H.
37%
low confidenceData 63%hard1 H2H used
◀ Badosa P.Why the model leansDart H. ▶
Ranking
+0.27
Surface
0.00
Form
-0.06
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Badosa P. Form
Badosa P.
Dart H. Form
Dart H.
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