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Tennis · Tokyo · Japan · hard

Arnaldi M. vs Sakamoto R.

Wednesday, 30 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Arnaldi M.2-1Sakamoto R.
Set 1
2-6
Set 2
6-4
Set 3
6-4

Prediction and result

Arnaldi M. vs Sakamoto R. in Tokyo (Tennis) was played on Wednesday, 30 September 2026. Final score: Arnaldi M. 2-1 Sakamoto R.. Pre-match model prediction: Arnaldi M. 50% vs Sakamoto R. 50%. See the head-to-head record and recent form, hard-court stats. Compare the result with the pre-match model prediction.

Key facts before the match

  • Arnaldi M. is ranked No. 37, 100 places above Sakamoto R. (No. 137).
  • Arnaldi M. has won just 2 of the last 9 matches on hard courts.
  • Arnaldi M. has lost 3 matches in a row.
  • They last met on 2 Oct 2025, when Arnaldi M. won 2-0.
Japan•ATP•Tokyo•hard
Arnaldi M.
Arnaldi M.
Age 25 · Rank #37
VS
Sakamoto R.
Age 20 · Rank #137
Sakamoto R.
Wednesday, 30 September 2026 at 12:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Arnaldi M.2-1Sakamoto R.
Set 1
2-6
Set 2
6-4
Set 3
6-4
Model win probability
Arnaldi M.Sakamoto R.
50%
50%
Head-to-head
1/10/1
10
1 meeting · 0 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Arnaldi M.
50%
Sakamoto R.
50%
low confidenceData 63%hard1 H2H used
◀ Arnaldi M.Why the model leansSakamoto R. ▶
Ranking
+0.55
Surface
-0.10
Form
-0.21
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Arnaldi M. Form
Arnaldi M.
31 Aug2026
Arnaldi M.ATP #37 vs Duckworth J.ATP #63
1-3L
15 Aug2026
Landaluce M.ATP #73 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #37
2-1L
07 Aug2026
Griekspoor T.ATP #55 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #37
2-1L
06 Aug2026
Marozsan F.ATP #62 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #37
1-2W
27 Jul2026
Arnaldi M.ATP #37 vs Musetti L.ATP #25
0-1L
16 Jul2026
Dzumhur D.ATP #102 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #37
2-1L
15 Jul2026
Gomez F. A.ATP #196 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #37
1-2W
30 Jun2026
Arnaldi M.ATP #37 vs Halys Q.ATP #50
1-3L
23 Jun2026
Arnaldi M.ATP #37 vs Hussey G.ATP #306
0-2L
21 Jun2026
Arnaldi M.ATP #37 vs Samuel T.ATP #98
2-1W
Sakamoto R. Form
Sakamoto R.
19 Sept2026
Shepp A.ATP #498 vs Sakamoto R.ATP #137
0-2W
08 Sept2026
Sakamoto R.ATP #137 vs Nam ji S.ATP #818
0-2L
03 Sept2026
Sakamoto R.ATP #137 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #8
0-3L
31 Aug2026
Vukic A.ATP #112 vs Sakamoto R.ATP #137
2-3W
28 Aug2026
Nishikori K.ATP #436 vs Sakamoto R.ATP #137
0-2W
26 Aug2026
Sakamoto R.ATP #137 vs Muller A.ATP #132
2-0W
25 Aug2026
Clarke J.ATP #236 vs Sakamoto R.ATP #137
1-2W
20 Aug2026
Sakamoto R.ATP #137 vs Van Assche L.ATP #43
1-2L
18 Aug2026
Rodionov J.ATP #140 vs Sakamoto R.ATP #137
0-2W
14 Aug2026
Milavsky D.ATP #316 vs Sakamoto R.ATP #137
2-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
02 Oct2025
Arnaldi M.ATP #37 vs Sakamoto R.ATP #137
2-0

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