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Tennis · Washington · USA · hard

Arnaldi M. vs Musetti L.

Monday, 27 July 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED / RETIRED - ARNALDI M..
Final score · sets
Arnaldi M.0-1Musetti L.
Set 1
0-6
Set 2
1-3

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Musetti L. a 67% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 15 against No. 35, 7 wins from the last 9 matches on hard courts to 4 and a 4-0 head-to-head lead. Musetti L. won 1-0 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • They last met on 14 Jan 2025, when Musetti L. won 3-1.
USA•ATP•Washington•hard
Arnaldi M.
Age 25 · Rank #35
VS
Age 24 · Rank #15
Musetti L.
Monday, 27 July 2026 at 20:50
Played. Source reports: FINISHED / RETIRED - ARNALDI M..
Final score · sets
Arnaldi M.0-1Musetti L.
Set 1
0-6
Set 2
1-3
Model win probability
Arnaldi M.Musetti L.
33%
67%
Head-to-head
0/44/4
02
4 meetings · 2 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Arnaldi M.
33%
Musetti L.
67%
medium confidenceData 58%hard1 H2H used
◀ Arnaldi M.Why the model leansMusetti L. ▶
Ranking
-0.36
Surface
-0.54
Form
-0.19
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Arnaldi M. Form
Arnaldi M.
16 Jul2026
Dzumhur D.ATP #102 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #35
2-1L
15 Jul2026
Gomez F. A.ATP #191 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #35
1-2W
30 Jun2026
Arnaldi M.ATP #35 vs Halys Q.ATP #52
1-3L
23 Jun2026
Arnaldi M.ATP #35 vs Hussey G.ATP #253
0-2L
21 Jun2026
Arnaldi M.ATP #35 vs Samuel T.ATP #112
2-1W
20 Jun2026
Arnaldi M.ATP #35 vs Gray A.ATP #266
2-0W
05 Jun2026
Arnaldi M.ATP #35 vs Cobolli F.ATP #9
03 Jun2026
Berrettini M.ATP #41 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #35
0-1W
01 Jun2026
Tiafoe F.ATP #19 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #35
2-3W
30 May2026
Arnaldi M.ATP #35 vs Collignon R.ATP #38
3-2W
Musetti L. Form
Musetti L.
12 May2026
Musetti L.ATP #15 vs Ruud C.ATP #13
0-2L
10 May2026
Musetti L.ATP #15 vs Cerundolo F.ATP #20
2-0W
08 May2026
Musetti L.ATP #15 vs Mpetshi Perricard G.ATP #87
2-0W
28 Apr2026
Lehecka J.ATP #12 vs Musetti L.ATP #15
2-0L
26 Apr2026
Griekspoor T.ATP #67 vs Musetti L.ATP #15
0-2W
24 Apr2026
Hurkacz H.ATP #71 vs Musetti L.ATP #15
0-2W
17 Apr2026
Fils A.ATP #22 vs Musetti L.ATP #15
2-0L
16 Apr2026
Moutet C.ATP #57 vs Musetti L.ATP #15
0-2W
14 Apr2026
Landaluce M.ATP #63 vs Musetti L.ATP #15
0-2W
08 Apr2026
Musetti L.ATP #15 vs Vacherot V.ATP #18
0-2L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
14 Jan2025
Arnaldi M.ATP #35 vs Musetti L.ATP #15
1-3
19 Jul2023
Musetti L.ATP #15 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #35
2-1
14 May2023
Musetti L.ATP #15 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #35
2-0
09 Apr2019
Arnaldi M.ATP #35 vs Musetti L.ATP #15
0-2

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