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Tennis · Shanghai · China · hard

Arnaldi M. vs Fritz T.

Saturday, 10 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Arnaldi M.0-2Fritz T.
Set 1
5-7
Set 2
4-6

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Fritz T. a 74% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 12 against No. 38 and 5 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 3. Fritz T. won 2-0 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • Fritz T. has lost 3 matches in a row.
  • They last met on 25 Jul 2025, when Fritz T. won 2-0.
China•ATP•Shanghai•hard
Arnaldi M.
Age 25 · Rank #38
VS
Age 28 · Rank #12
Fritz T.
Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 09:30
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Arnaldi M.0-2Fritz T.
Set 1
5-7
Set 2
4-6
Model win probability
Arnaldi M.Fritz T.
26%
74%
Head-to-head
1/21/2
01
2 meetings · 1 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Arnaldi M.
26%
Fritz T.
74%
medium confidenceData 66%hard2 H2H used
◀ Arnaldi M.Why the model leansFritz T. ▶
Ranking
-0.48
Surface
-0.15
Form
-0.31
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Arnaldi M. Form
Arnaldi M.
08 Oct2026
Tomic B.ATP #185 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #38
0-2W
03 Oct2026
Alcaraz C.ATP #3 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #38
2-0L
30 Sept2026
Arnaldi M.ATP #38 vs Sakamoto R.ATP #137
2-1W
31 Aug2026
Arnaldi M.ATP #38 vs Duckworth J.ATP #64
1-3L
15 Aug2026
Landaluce M.ATP #73 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #38
2-1L
07 Aug2026
Griekspoor T.ATP #58 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #38
2-1L
06 Aug2026
Marozsan F.ATP #63 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #38
1-2W
27 Jul2026
Arnaldi M.ATP #38 vs Musetti L.ATP #25
0-1L
16 Jul2026
Dzumhur D.ATP #103 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #38
2-1L
15 Jul2026
Gomez F. A.ATP #204 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #38
1-2W
Fritz T. Form
Fritz T.
01 Oct2026
Fritz T.ATP #12 vs Munar J.ATP #49
1-2L
26 Sept2026
Alcaraz C.ATP #3 vs Fritz T.ATP #12
2-1L
05 Sept2026
Fritz T.ATP #12 vs Cerundolo F.ATP #20
2-3L
03 Sept2026
Fritz T.ATP #12 vs Bellucci M.ATP #86
3-0W
01 Sept2026
Fritz T.ATP #12 vs Blanch Dar.
3-0W
21 Aug2026
Fritz T.ATP #12 vs Nakashima B.ATP #18
1-2L
20 Aug2026
Fritz T.ATP #12 vs O'connell C.ATP #117
2-0W
18 Aug2026
Fritz T.ATP #12 vs Merida Aguilar D.ATP #44
2-0W
16 Aug2026
Fritz T.ATP #12 vs Michelsen A.ATP #35
2-0W
05 Aug2026
Tirante T. A.ATP #54 vs Fritz T.ATP #12
2-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
25 Jul2025
Fritz T.ATP #12 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #38
2-0
27 Feb2024
Arnaldi M.ATP #38 vs Fritz T.ATP #12
2-1

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