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Tennis · Us Open · USA · hard

Arnaldi M. vs Duckworth J.

Monday, 31 August 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Arnaldi M.1-3Duckworth J.
Set 1
7-5
Set 2
3-6
Set 3
2-6
Set 4
6-7

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Duckworth J. a 66% chance on hard courts. That rests on 6 wins from the last 9 matches on hard courts to 2. Arnaldi M. is the higher-ranked player (No. 36 against No. 71), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Duckworth J. won 3-1 in sets, as the model expected.

USA•ATP•Us Open•hard
Arnaldi M.
Age 25 · Rank #36
VS
Age 34 · Rank #71
Duckworth J.
Monday, 31 August 2026 at 20:15
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Arnaldi M.1-3Duckworth J.
Set 1
7-5
Set 2
3-6
Set 3
2-6
Set 4
6-7
Model win probability
Arnaldi M.Duckworth J.
34%
66%
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Model Prediction
Arnaldi M.
34%
Duckworth J.
66%
low confidenceData 60%hard0 H2H used
◀ Arnaldi M.Why the model leansDuckworth J. ▶
Ranking
+0.29
Surface
-0.23
Form
-0.42
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Arnaldi M. Form
Arnaldi M.
15 Aug2026
Landaluce M.ATP #65 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #36
2-1L
07 Aug2026
Griekspoor T.ATP #56 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #36
2-1L
06 Aug2026
Marozsan F.ATP #63 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #36
1-2W
27 Jul2026
Arnaldi M.ATP #36 vs Musetti L.ATP #14
0-1L
16 Jul2026
Dzumhur D.ATP #104 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #36
2-1L
15 Jul2026
Gomez F. A.ATP #169 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #36
1-2W
30 Jun2026
Arnaldi M.ATP #36 vs Halys Q.ATP #52
1-3L
23 Jun2026
Arnaldi M.ATP #36 vs Hussey G.ATP #294
0-2L
21 Jun2026
Arnaldi M.ATP #36 vs Samuel T.ATP #110
2-1W
20 Jun2026
Arnaldi M.ATP #36 vs Gray A.ATP #287
2-0W
Duckworth J. Form
Duckworth J.
29 Aug2026
Duckworth J.ATP #71 vs Fery A.ATP #33
0-1L
28 Aug2026
Marozsan F.ATP #63 vs Duckworth J.ATP #71
1-2W
27 Aug2026
Sonego L.ATP #89 vs Duckworth J.ATP #71
0-2W
26 Aug2026
Duckworth J.ATP #71 vs Navone M.ATP #49
2-0W
24 Aug2026
Vandecasteele Q.ATP #438 vs Duckworth J.ATP #71
0-2W
16 Aug2026
Fery A.ATP #33 vs Duckworth J.ATP #71
2-1L
14 Aug2026
Wolf J.j.ATP #253 vs Duckworth J.ATP #71
0-2W
05 Aug2026
Duckworth J.ATP #71 vs de Minaur A.ATP #7
0-2L
03 Aug2026
Duckworth J.ATP #71 vs O'connell C.ATP #106
2-0W
30 Jul2026
Norrie C.ATP #35 vs Duckworth J.ATP #71
2-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
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