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Tennis · Basel · Switzerland · hard

Altmaier D. vs Lehecka J.

Thursday, 29 October 2026

Match preview

The model gives Lehecka J. a 77% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 21 against No. 60 and 7 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 5. Bookmakers give Lehecka J. about 81% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view.

Key facts

They last met on 17 Oct 2024, when Lehecka J. won 2-0.

Switzerland•ATP•Basel•hard

Altmaier D.

Age 28 · Rank #60

Lehecka J.

Age 24 · Rank #21

Thursday, 29 October 2026 at 18:00

Model win probability

Altmaier D.Lehecka J.

23%

77%

Altmaier D. · all surfaces (latest first)

W3d

L4d

W5d

L6d

W7d

W9d

L20d

W22d

L31d

L40d

On hard5–5 · 50%· won 1+ set 6/10

W3d

L4d

W5d

L6d

W7d

W9d

L20d

W22d

L31d

L57d

Lehecka J. · all surfaces (latest first)

W2d

L6d

W7d

L17d

W19d

L23d

W24d

W25d

W26d

W28d

On hard7–3 · 70%· won 1+ set 9/10

W2d

L6d

W7d

L17d

W19d

L23d

W24d

W25d

W26d

W28d

Recent form

Altmaier D. · all surfacesLehecka J. · all surfaces

1010

5/107/10

5/103/10

50%70%

2/104/10

5/101/10

5/109/10

3/105/10

10 / 1316 / 9

-3+7

On hard (this match's surface)

Altmaier D. · last 10 on hardLehecka J. · last 10 on hard

1010

5/107/10

5/103/10

50%70%

2/104/10

4/101/10

6/109/10

4/105/10

11 / 1416 / 9

-3+7

Head-to-head

0/11/1

1 meeting · 0 went to a deciding set

Market Odds

Vig 6.2%

Altmaier D.

5.00▼

Implied 19%

Edge +4.2%

Lehecka J.

1.16▲

Implied 81%

Edge -4.2%

Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.

Model Prediction

Altmaier D.

23%

Lehecka J.

77%

high confidenceData 100%hard1 H2H used

◀ Altmaier D.Why the model leansLehecka J. ▶

Ranking

-0.44

Surface

0.00

Form

-0.30

H2H

0.00

Model v2.3-2026-06

Altmaier D. Form

Altmaier D.

26 Oct2026

Altmaier D.ATP #60 vs Cerundolo J. M.ATP #54

2-1W

25 Oct2026

Cerundolo J. M.ATP #54 vs Altmaier D.ATP #60

2-0L

24 Oct2026

Bernet H.ATP #361 vs Altmaier D.ATP #60

0-2W

23 Oct2026

Altmaier D.ATP #60 vs Fritz T.ATP #13

0-2L

22 Oct2026

Gojo B.ATP #135 vs Altmaier D.ATP #60

0-2W

20 Oct2026

Altmaier D.ATP #60 vs Droguet T.ATP #72

2-1W

09 Oct2026

Shelton B.ATP #4 vs Altmaier D.ATP #60

2-0L

07 Oct2026

Rune H.ATP #1202 vs Altmaier D.ATP #60

1-2W

28 Sept2026

Cui J.ATP #393 vs Altmaier D.ATP #60

2-0L

19 Sept2026

Altmaier D.ATP #60 vs Prizmic D.ATP #93

0-2L

Lehecka J. Form

Lehecka J.

27 Oct2026

Wawrinka S.ATP #151 vs Lehecka J.ATP #21

0-2W

23 Oct2026

Griekspoor T.ATP #50 vs Lehecka J.ATP #21

2-1L

22 Oct2026

Collignon R.ATP #55 vs Lehecka J.ATP #21

0-2W

12 Oct2026

Lehecka J.ATP #21 vs Jodar R.ATP #11

1-2L

10 Oct2026

Lehecka J.ATP #21 vs Borges N.ATP #53

2-1W

06 Oct2026

Alcaraz C.ATP #3 vs Lehecka J.ATP #21

2-0L

05 Oct2026

Lehecka J.ATP #21 vs Vacherot V.ATP #31

2-0W

04 Oct2026

Lehecka J.ATP #21 vs Vallejo D.

2-0W

03 Oct2026

Humbert U.ATP #38 vs Lehecka J.ATP #21

1-2W

01 Oct2026

Lehecka J.ATP #21 vs Bergs Z.ATP #39

2-1W

Head-to-Head

Last 10

17 Oct2024

Lehecka J.ATP #21 vs Altmaier D.ATP #60

2-0

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