Tennis · Tokyo · Japan · hard
Alcaraz C. vs Michelsen A.
Thursday, 01 October 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score · sets
Alcaraz C.2-1Michelsen A.
- Set 1
- 7-6
- Set 2
- 4-6
- Set 3
- 6-1
Prediction and result
Before the match, the model gave Alcaraz C. a 70% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 3 against No. 34. Alcaraz C. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.
Key facts before the match
- Alcaraz C. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
- Michelsen A. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
Japan•ATP•Tokyo•hard
Thursday, 01 October 2026 at 10:45
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Alcaraz C.2-1Michelsen A.
- Set 1
- 7-6
- Set 2
- 4-6
- Set 3
- 6-1
Model win probability
Alcaraz C.Michelsen A.
70%
30%
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Model Prediction
Alcaraz C.
70%
Michelsen A.
30%
low confidenceData 70%hard0 H2H used
◀ Alcaraz C.Why the model leansMichelsen A. ▶
Ranking
+1.02
Surface
-0.12
Form
-0.06
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Alcaraz C. Form
Alcaraz C.
Michelsen A. Form
Michelsen A.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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